GO (Grocery Outlet Holding) Beneish M-Score: -3.04 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp GO
63 GF Score
Price $9.80
GF Value $19.41
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Grocery Outlet Holding Beneish M-Score?

Grocery Outlet Holding GO +3.33% 63 Beneish M-Score is -3.04 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates GO with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of $19.41 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 293 Retail - Defensive companies, Grocery Outlet Holding ranks better than 83.28% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grocery Outlet Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.04   Med: -2.56   Max: -2.12
Current: -3.04

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grocery Outlet Holding was -2.12. The lowest was -3.04. And the median was -2.56.


Grocery Outlet Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Grocery Outlet Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Grocery Outlet Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

Grocery Outlet Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.29 -2.63 -2.55 -2.78

Grocery Outlet Holding Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 -2.52 -2.66 -2.78 -3.04

GO vs YSWY, VLGEA, NGVC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Grocery Outlet Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grocery Outlet Holding Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Grocery Outlet Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grocery Outlet Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.


GO
63GF Score
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp GO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Grocery Outlet Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grocery Outlet Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.776+0.528 * 1.0145+0.404 * 0.7206+0.892 * 1.0604+0.115 * 0.8672
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0128+4.679 * -0.049575-0.327 * 1.1491
=-3.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $18 Mil.
Revenue was 1166.352 + 1215.267 + 1168.153 + 1179.772 = $4,730 Mil.
Gross Profit was 345.199 + 361.019 + 355.136 + 360.693 = $1,422 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $489 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,958 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,878 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $132 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,348 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $382 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,737 Mil.
Net Income was -180.322 + -218.161 + 11.605 + 4.961 = $-382 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -176.191 + -262.382 + -1.296 + -11.157 = $-451 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 52.558 + 72.294 + 17.276 + 73.625 = $216 Mil.
Total Receivables was $21 Mil.
Revenue was 1125.567 + 1097.854 + 1108.183 + 1128.52 = $4,460 Mil.
Gross Profit was 342.445 + 323.88 + 344.872 + 349.24 = $1,360 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $485 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,271 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,880 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $113 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,255 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $389 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,650 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(17.533 / 4729.544) / (21.306 / 4460.124)
=0.003707 / 0.004777
=0.776

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1360.437 / 4460.124) / (1422.047 / 4729.544)
=0.305022 / 0.300673
=1.0145

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (489.253 + 1877.812) / 2958.009) / (1 - (484.91 + 1879.529) / 3271.437)
=0.199778 / 0.277248
=0.7206

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4729.544 / 4460.124
=1.0604

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(113.214 / (113.214 + 1879.529)) / (131.647 / (131.647 + 1877.812))
=0.056813 / 0.065514
=0.8672

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1348.232 / 4729.544) / (1255.418 / 4460.124)
=0.285066 / 0.281476
=1.0128

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1736.889 + 381.857) / 2958.009) / ((1650.471 + 388.693) / 3271.437)
=0.716274 / 0.623324
=1.1491

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-381.917 - -451.026 - 215.753) / 2958.009
=-0.049575

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grocery Outlet Holding has a M-score of -3.04 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.04 mean?
Grocery Outlet Holding (GO) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.04 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Grocery Outlet Holding and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Grocery Outlet Holding ranks #49 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 16.7%.
Is Grocery Outlet Holding's Beneish M-Score too high?
Grocery Outlet Holding's current Beneish M-Score is -3.04. Based on the distribution chart, Grocery Outlet Holding ranks #49 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Grocery Outlet Holding has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Grocery Outlet Holding's Beneish M-Score compare to YSWY and VLGEA?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Grocery Outlet Holding ranks #49 out of 293 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Grocery Outlet Holding in the top 17% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Grocery Outlet Holding and its competitors. Grocery Outlet Holding's current Beneish M-Score is -3.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Grocery Outlet Holding stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grocery Outlet Holding (GO) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $19.41, compared to a current price of $9.80 — trading 49.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.04. Grocery Outlet Holding's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Grocery Outlet Holding (GO), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.04 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Grocery Outlet Holding (GO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grocery Outlet Holding stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $9.80 is trading 49.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $19.41. GuruFocus considers Grocery Outlet Holding to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for GO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.04
  • GF Value™: $19.41 vs. price of $9.80 (49.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the GO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Grocery Outlet Holding Business Description

Address 5650 Hollis Street, Emeryville, CA, USA, 94608
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp is a grocery store operator in the United States. It is a retailer of quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products sold through a network of independently operated stores. The stores are run by Entrepreneurial independent operators which create a neighborhood feel through personalized customer service and a localized product offering.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$9.80
Price
$19.41
GF Value