China Citic Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of China Citic Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9994 | + | 0.892 * 1.0212 | + | 0.115 * 1 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0.9502 | + | 4.679 * 0.026513 | - | 0.327 * 1.1828 |
| = | -2.39 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec24) TTM: | Last Year (Dec23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was HK$0 Mil.
Revenue was 54768.374 + 58329.002 + 59212.045 + 58119.301 = HK$230,429 Mil.
Gross Profit was 54768.374 + 58329.002 + 59212.045 + 58119.301 = HK$230,429 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$10,177,821 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$60,589 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$14,660 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,413,010 Mil.
Net Income was 17883.507 + 17986.684 + 17546.582 + 20847.211 = HK$74,264 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 44164.255 + 131588.184 + -9441.286 + -361889.384 = HK$-195,578 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was HK$0 Mil.
Revenue was 54137.68 + 53522.658 + 59719.324 + 58272.118 = HK$225,652 Mil.
Gross Profit was 54137.68 + 53522.658 + 59719.324 + 58272.118 = HK$225,652 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$9,901,416 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$52,633 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$15,108 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,162,198 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (0 / 230428.722) | / | (0 / 225651.78) |
| = | 0 | / | 0 |
| | = | 1 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (225651.78 / 225651.78) | / | (230428.722 / 230428.722) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 60589.322) / 10177820.978) | / | (1 - (0 + 52632.64) / 9901415.863) |
| = | 0.994047 | / | 0.994684 |
| | = | 0.9994 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 230428.722 | / | 225651.78 |
| | = | 1.0212 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (0 / (0 + 52632.64)) | / | (0 / (0 + 60589.322)) |
| = | 0 | / | 0 |
| | = | 1 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (14660.153 / 230428.722) | / | (15107.999 / 225651.78) |
| = | 0.063621 | / | 0.066953 |
| | = | 0.9502 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((1413009.526 + 0) / 10177820.978) | / | ((1162198.036 + 0) / 9901415.863) |
| = | 0.138832 | / | 0.117377 |
| | = | 1.1828 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (74263.984 - 0 | - | -195578.231) | / | 10177820.978 |
| | = | 0.026513 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
China Citic Bank has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
Portfolio Contest
HKSE:00998 has been successfully added to your