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China Shengmu Organic Milk (HKSE:01432) Beneish M-Score : -2.85 (As of Jun. 23, 2024)


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What is China Shengmu Organic Milk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Shengmu Organic Milk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01432' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.9   Med: -2.85   Max: -1.83
Current: -2.85

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Shengmu Organic Milk was -1.83. The lowest was -4.90. And the median was -2.85.


China Shengmu Organic Milk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Shengmu Organic Milk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Shengmu Organic Milk Beneish M-Score Chart

China Shengmu Organic Milk Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.27 -2.98 -2.04 -2.85 -2.85

China Shengmu Organic Milk Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.04 - -2.85 - -2.85

Competitive Comparison of China Shengmu Organic Milk's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm Products subindustry, China Shengmu Organic Milk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Shengmu Organic Milk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Shengmu Organic Milk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Shengmu Organic Milk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China Shengmu Organic Milk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Shengmu Organic Milk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0285+0.528 * 1.0525+0.404 * 1.1217+0.892 * 1.0434+0.115 * 0.9957
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0961+4.679 * -0.100296-0.327 * 1.0933
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$332 Mil.
Revenue was HK$3,701 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,121 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,357 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$9,316 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$2,779 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$139 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$251 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$3,306 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,376 Mil.
Net Income was HK$94 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1,028 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$309 Mil.
Revenue was HK$3,547 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,131 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,764 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$8,808 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$2,522 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$126 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$219 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,982 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,067 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(331.775 / 3700.942) / (309.169 / 3546.968)
=0.089646 / 0.087164
=1.0285

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1130.877 / 3546.968) / (1121.145 / 3700.942)
=0.318829 / 0.302935
=1.0525

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2357.139 + 2779.147) / 9315.617) / (1 - (2763.785 + 2521.598) / 8808.235)
=0.448637 / 0.39995
=1.1217

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3700.942 / 3546.968
=1.0434

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(125.62 / (125.62 + 2521.598)) / (139.076 / (139.076 + 2779.147))
=0.047454 / 0.047658
=0.9957

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(250.536 / 3700.942) / (219.056 / 3546.968)
=0.067695 / 0.061759
=1.0961

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1376.421 + 3305.67) / 9315.617) / ((1066.951 + 2982.201) / 8808.235)
=0.502607 / 0.459701
=1.0933

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(94.148 - 0 - 1028.463) / 9315.617
=-0.100296

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Shengmu Organic Milk has a M-score of -2.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China Shengmu Organic Milk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China Shengmu Organic Milk (HKSE:01432) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, Food Industry Park, Deng Kou County, Bayannur, CHN
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd is an organic dairy company in China. The company, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in the production and distribution of raw milk and dairy products. It operates in a single segment that is the Dairy Farming business. The company's income is mainly derived from its business activities in Mainland China.
Executives
Bpea Eqt Holdings Ab 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Bei Jing Ke Gao Da Bei Nong Sheng Wu Ke Ji You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Bei Jing Da Bei Nong Ke Ji Ji Tuan Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Da Bei Nong Huan Qiu Tou Zi Xiang Gang You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Bpea Private Equity Gp V, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Bpea Private Equity Gp V Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Bpea Private Equity Fund V, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Eqt Ab 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Greenbelt Global Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Salata Jean Eric 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shao Genhuo
The Baring Asia Private Equity Fund V, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Baring Private Equity Asia Gp V, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Baring Private Equity Asia Gp V Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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