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J&T Global Express (HKSE:01519) Beneish M-Score : -2.41 (As of Mar. 23, 2025)


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What is J&T Global Express Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.41 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for J&T Global Express's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01519' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.09   Med: -2.41   Max: 0.55
Current: -2.41

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of J&T Global Express was 0.55. The lowest was -4.09. And the median was -2.41.


J&T Global Express Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for J&T Global Express's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

J&T Global Express Beneish M-Score Chart

J&T Global Express Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
- - 0.55 -4.09 -2.41

J&T Global Express Semi-Annual Data
Dec20 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.55 - -4.09 - -2.41

Competitive Comparison of J&T Global Express's Beneish M-Score

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, J&T Global Express's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


J&T Global Express's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, J&T Global Express's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where J&T Global Express's Beneish M-Score falls into.



J&T Global Express Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of J&T Global Express for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0459+0.528 * 0.5084+0.404 * 0.9236+0.892 * 1.1539+0.115 * 7.0242
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2476+4.679 * -0.096904-0.327 * 1.0553
=-2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$14,397 Mil.
Revenue was HK$79,748 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$8,381 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$28,083 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$56,703 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$14,480 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$475 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,651 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$18,795 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$12,572 Mil.
Net Income was HK$782 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$6,276 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$11,929 Mil.
Revenue was HK$69,111 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$3,692 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$24,502 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$51,556 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$13,134 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3,769 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,147 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$16,282 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$10,743 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(14396.99 / 79748.119) / (11929.266 / 69110.88)
=0.180531 / 0.172611
=1.0459

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3692.458 / 69110.88) / (8381.396 / 79748.119)
=0.053428 / 0.105098
=0.5084

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (28082.9 + 14479.862) / 56703.113) / (1 - (24501.732 + 13134.233) / 51555.723)
=0.249375 / 0.269994
=0.9236

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=79748.119 / 69110.88
=1.1539

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3768.572 / (3768.572 + 13134.233)) / (474.675 / (474.675 + 14479.862))
=0.222955 / 0.031741
=7.0242

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1650.938 / 79748.119) / (1146.744 / 69110.88)
=0.020702 / 0.016593
=1.2476

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12571.749 + 18795.296) / 56703.113) / ((10743.387 + 16281.668) / 51555.723)
=0.55318 / 0.524191
=1.0553

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(781.685 - 0 - 6276.461) / 56703.113
=-0.096904

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

J&T Global Express has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


J&T Global Express Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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J&T Global Express Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1777 Hualong Road, Room 1001, Block A, Tower 5, Huaxinzhen, Qingpu, Shanghai, CHN
J&T Express provides express delivery in 13 countries, with a number one position in Southeast Asia and a number five position in China by parcel volume share in 2023 and a growing footprint in Latin America and the Middle East. As of Dec. 31, 2023, it had full network coverage across Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia, and Singapore, over 99% of geographical coverage in China, and over 95% coverage in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Mexico, Brazil, and Egypt. J&T also had approximately 8,500 network partners, 19,600 pickup and delivery outlets, and operates 237 sorting centers, more than 3,900 line-haul routes and over 9,600 line-haul vehicles, including more than 5,100 self-owned line-haul vehicles.
Executives
Li Jie
Vistra Trust (singapore) Pte. Limited
Topping Summit Limited
Jumping Summit Limited
Exceeding Summit Holding Limited
Kastle Limited 2301 Trustee
Xyxy Holdings Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Boyu Group, Llc 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Boyu Capital Group Holdings Ltd 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Boyu Capital General Partner Iv, Ltd 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tong Xiaomeng 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Boyu Capital Fund Iv, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tencent Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Boyu Capital Fund Iv, L.p
Liang Xiaojing

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