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AviChina Industry & Technology Co (HKSE:02357) Beneish M-Score : -2.08 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is AviChina Industry & Technology Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AviChina Industry & Technology Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02357' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.57   Med: -2.25   Max: -2.01
Current: -2.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AviChina Industry & Technology Co was -2.01. The lowest was -2.57. And the median was -2.25.


AviChina Industry & Technology Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AviChina Industry & Technology Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AviChina Industry & Technology Co Beneish M-Score Chart

AviChina Industry & Technology Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 -2.01 -2.14 -2.53 -2.08

AviChina Industry & Technology Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.14 - -2.53 - -2.08

Competitive Comparison of AviChina Industry & Technology Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, AviChina Industry & Technology Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AviChina Industry & Technology Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, AviChina Industry & Technology Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AviChina Industry & Technology Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



AviChina Industry & Technology Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AviChina Industry & Technology Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0972+0.528 * 0.9501+0.404 * 0.9683+0.892 * 1.0536+0.115 * 1.0447
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.075+4.679 * 0.058222-0.327 * 0.9007
=-2.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$61,554 Mil.
Revenue was HK$92,670 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$23,267 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$158,290 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$202,369 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$30,223 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3,052 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,818 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$93,558 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$7,834 Mil.
Net Income was HK$7,316 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-4,466 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$53,244 Mil.
Revenue was HK$87,953 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$20,982 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$157,378 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$200,028 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$28,508 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3,021 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,605 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$107,325 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$3,939 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(61554.253 / 92670.297) / (53243.779 / 87953.438)
=0.664229 / 0.605363
=1.0972

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(20981.938 / 87953.438) / (23267.191 / 92670.297)
=0.238557 / 0.251075
=0.9501

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (158290.284 + 30223.368) / 202368.996) / (1 - (157377.659 + 28507.59) / 200028.215)
=0.068466 / 0.070705
=0.9683

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=92670.297 / 87953.438
=1.0536

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3021.181 / (3021.181 + 28507.59)) / (3052.234 / (3052.234 + 30223.368))
=0.095823 / 0.091726
=1.0447

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1818.203 / 92670.297) / (1605.252 / 87953.438)
=0.01962 / 0.018251
=1.075

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7833.61 + 93557.825) / 202368.996) / ((3938.557 + 107324.649) / 200028.215)
=0.501023 / 0.556238
=0.9007

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7315.829 - 0 - -4466.441) / 202368.996
=0.058222

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AviChina Industry & Technology Co has a M-score of -2.08 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


AviChina Industry & Technology Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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AviChina Industry & Technology Co (HKSE:02357) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 14 Xiaoguan Dongli, 6th floor, Building A, Andingmenwai, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100029
AviChina Industry & Technology Co Ltd is engaged in the development, manufacture, sales and upgrade of civil aviation products and defense products such as provision of helicopters, trainer aircraft, general-purpose aircraft and regional jets for domestic and overseas customers. The company also collaborates with international aviation product manufacturers. AviChina has three operating segments: Aviation entire aircraft; Aviation ancillary system and related business; and Aviation engineering services. The Aviation entire aircraft segment includes helicopters, trainer aircraft, and general aircraft for both civil and military uses. Over half of the company's revenue is generated from supplying components, spare parts, and services. AviChina mainly conducts its business in China.
Executives
Tian Jin Bao Shui Qu Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhong Guo Hang Kong Gong Ye Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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