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Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) (HKSE:02411) Beneish M-Score : -2.07 (As of Apr. 16, 2025)


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What is Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02411' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.18   Med: -2.22   Max: -2.07
Current: -2.07

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) was -2.07. The lowest was -3.18. And the median was -2.22.


Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Beneish M-Score Chart

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - -3.18 -2.22 -2.07 -

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Semi-Annual Data
Dec19 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.22 - -2.07 - -

Competitive Comparison of Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1512+0.528 * 1.0065+0.404 * 1.0313+0.892 * 0.9863+0.115 * 1.0763
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9631+4.679 * 0.054044-0.327 * 1.0007
=-2.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$2,546 Mil.
Revenue was HK$12,459 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,438 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$5,760 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$8,303 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,091 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$139 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$870 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$3,847 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$658 Mil.
Net Income was HK$396 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-53 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$2,242 Mil.
Revenue was HK$12,632 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,468 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$5,282 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$7,605 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,034 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$143 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$916 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$3,524 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$600 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2545.512 / 12458.749) / (2242.01 / 12632.271)
=0.204315 / 0.177483
=1.1512

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1467.683 / 12632.271) / (1438.132 / 12458.749)
=0.116185 / 0.115431
=1.0065

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5759.673 + 1091.47) / 8302.859) / (1 - (5281.638 + 1033.613) / 7604.538)
=0.174845 / 0.169542
=1.0313

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12458.749 / 12632.271
=0.9863

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(143.339 / (143.339 + 1033.613)) / (139.264 / (139.264 + 1091.47))
=0.121788 / 0.113155
=1.0763

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(870.125 / 12458.749) / (916.084 / 12632.271)
=0.06984 / 0.072519
=0.9631

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((657.932 + 3847.435) / 8302.859) / ((599.834 + 3523.54) / 7604.538)
=0.542628 / 0.542225
=1.0007

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(395.638 - 0 - -53.081) / 8302.859
=0.054044

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) has a M-score of -2.07 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 1 Pingji Road, Nanwan Street, B1101-1103, B1105-1113, B1115-1122, B1201-1203, B1205-1213, B1215-1217 Tower B, Jiansheng Building, Xialilang Community, Longgang District, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen, CHN
Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corp Ltd is principally engaged in operating a franchised retail network and trading of fruits. The group has three reportable segments which include Trading, Franchising, and others. The majority of its revenue derives from the Franchising segment which includes the operation of franchised and self-owned retail networks.
Executives
Xu Yanlin
Yu Huiyong
China International Capital Corporation Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Zhen Shi Hong Yuan Shan Guo Tou Zi Fa Zhan Qi Ye You Xian He Huo
Shen Zhen Shi Heng Yi Li Tou Zi Fa Zhan Zhong Xin You Xian He Huo
Jiao Yue 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wang Yonghua 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Zhen Shi Tian Tu Tou Zi Guan Li Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Zhen Tian Tu Zi Ben Guan Li Zhong Xin You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hang Zhou Tian Tu Zi Ben Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Cicc Qianhai (shenzhen) Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Jin Zi Ben Yun Ying You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Bei Jing Tian Tu Xing Bei Tou Zi Zhong Xin You Xian He Huo 2101 Beneficial owner
Shen Zhen Hui Lin Shi Ye Fa Zhan You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si

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