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HOVVB (Hovnanian Enterprises) Beneish M-Score : -1.78 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Hovnanian Enterprises Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hovnanian Enterprises's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HOVVB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.97   Med: -2.38   Max: 4.95
Current: -1.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hovnanian Enterprises was 4.95. The lowest was -4.97. And the median was -2.38.


Hovnanian Enterprises Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hovnanian Enterprises's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hovnanian Enterprises Beneish M-Score Chart

Hovnanian Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.42 -1.11 -2.37 -3.20 -

Hovnanian Enterprises Quarterly Data
Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.20 -3.18 -3.02 -1.78 -

Competitive Comparison of Hovnanian Enterprises's Beneish M-Score

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Hovnanian Enterprises's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hovnanian Enterprises's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hovnanian Enterprises's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hovnanian Enterprises's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Hovnanian Enterprises Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hovnanian Enterprises for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3776+0.528 * 0.9524+0.404 * 1.0787+0.892 * 1.0568+0.115 * 1.4485
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0407+4.679 * 0.042445-0.327 * 0.8547
=-1.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul24) TTM:Last Year (Jul23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $48 Mil.
Revenue was 722.704 + 708.38 + 594.196 + 887.032 = $2,912 Mil.
Gross Profit was 137.595 + 143.075 + 113.312 + 212.996 = $607 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,830 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,541 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $41 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $335 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $501 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,014 Mil.
Net Income was 72.919 + 50.836 + 23.904 + 97.265 = $245 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 55.405 + 14.292 + 15.772 + 0.131 = $86 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -92.283 + 89.103 + -89.004 + 143.676 = $51 Mil.
Total Receivables was $33 Mil.
Revenue was 649.957 + 703.661 + 515.366 + 886.788 = $2,756 Mil.
Gross Profit was 136.042 + 131.325 + 99.774 + 179.86 = $547 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,778 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,394 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $31 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $305 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $497 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,174 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(48.067 / 2912.312) / (33.016 / 2755.772)
=0.016505 / 0.011981
=1.3776

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(547.001 / 2755.772) / (606.978 / 2912.312)
=0.198493 / 0.208418
=0.9524

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1830.188 + 41.219) / 2540.505) / (1 - (1778.081 + 31.33) / 2393.917)
=0.263372 / 0.244163
=1.0787

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2912.312 / 2755.772
=1.0568

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8.671 / (8.671 + 31.33)) / (7.254 / (7.254 + 41.219))
=0.21677 / 0.14965
=1.4485

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(335.295 / 2912.312) / (304.875 / 2755.772)
=0.11513 / 0.110631
=1.0407

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1014.106 + 501.426) / 2540.505) / ((1173.906 + 497.015) / 2393.917)
=0.596548 / 0.697986
=0.8547

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(244.924 - 85.6 - 51.492) / 2540.505
=0.042445

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hovnanian Enterprises has a M-score of -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Hovnanian Enterprises Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Hovnanian Enterprises Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
90 Matawan Road, Fifth Floor, Matawan, NJ, USA, 07747
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc conducts all of its homebuilding and financial services operations . The company designs, constructs, markets, and sells single-family detached homes, attached townhomes and condominiums, urban infill, and active lifestyle homes in planned residential developments. It has two distinct operations: homebuilding and financial services. Its homebuilding operations are divided geographically into three segments; Northeast which includes Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia; Southeast which includes Florida, Georgia and South Carolina; and West which includes Arizona, California and Texas. The firm generates maximum revenue from West Segment.