PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (ISX:AALI) Beneish M-Score: -2.44 (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


ISX:AALI PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk ISX:AALI
75 GF Score
Price Rp5,875.00
GF Value Rp8,433.38
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk ISX:AALI -2.89% 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:AALI with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp8,433.38 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk ranks worse than 57.11% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:AALI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.48   Med: -2.41   Max: 2.35
Current: -2.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk was 2.35. The lowest was -3.48. And the median was -2.41.


PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.48 -1.77 -2.60 -3.40 -1.48

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.44 -3.41 -3.45 -1.48 -2.44

ISX:AALI vs ADM, BG, TSN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Farm Products subindustry, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:AALI
75GF Score
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk ISX:AALI
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2691+0.528 * 0.9222+0.404 * 0.8149+0.892 * 1.2119+0.115 * 0.9279
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1981+4.679 * -0.086428-0.327 * 0.4804
=-2.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp926,723 Mil.
Revenue was 7501811 + 6535932 + 7671927 + 7422828 = Rp29,132,498 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1162532 + 1368936 + 1014832 + 1310381 = Rp4,856,681 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp9,770,714 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp27,893,355 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp16,123,356 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp167,015 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp1,478,582 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp2,442,686 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp0 Mil.
Net Income was 373407 + 401599 + 367994 + 425089 = Rp1,568,089 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2084066 + -1545774 + 1908655 + 1531898 = Rp3,978,845 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp602,556 Mil.
Revenue was 7023961 + 5528043 + 5973745 + 5513320 = Rp24,039,069 Mil.
Gross Profit was 937280 + 1334826 + 722069 + 701517 = Rp3,695,692 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp9,912,504 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp29,753,101 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp17,223,581 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp165,430 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp1,018,329 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp3,923,861 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp1,500,000 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(926723 / 29132498) / (602556 / 24039069)
=0.031811 / 0.025066
=1.2691

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3695692 / 24039069) / (4856681 / 29132498)
=0.153737 / 0.16671
=0.9222

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9770714 + 16123356) / 27893355) / (1 - (9912504 + 17223581) / 29753101)
=0.071676 / 0.087958
=0.8149

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=29132498 / 24039069
=1.2119

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(165430 / (165430 + 17223581)) / (167015 / (167015 + 16123356))
=0.009513 / 0.010252
=0.9279

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1478582 / 29132498) / (1018329 / 24039069)
=0.050754 / 0.042361
=1.1981

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 2442686) / 27893355) / ((1500000 + 3923861) / 29753101)
=0.087572 / 0.182296
=0.4804

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1568089 - 0 - 3978845) / 27893355
=-0.086428

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 mean?
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (ISX:AALI) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk ranks #1056 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 57.1%.
Is PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Based on the distribution chart, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk ranks #1056 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to ADM and BG?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk ranks #1056 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk and its competitors. PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (ISX:AALI) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp8,433.38, compared to a current price of Rp5,875.00 — trading 30.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (ISX:AALI), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (ISX:AALI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp5,875.00 is trading 30.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp8,433.38. GuruFocus considers PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:AALI:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.44
  • GF Value™: Rp8,433.38 vs. price of Rp5,875.00 (30.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:AALI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk Business Description

Other Exchanges AAGRY:USAASX:Germany
Address Jalan Puloayang Raya Blok OR-1, Kawasan Industri Pulogadung, East Jakarta, Jakarta, IDN, 13930
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk is engaged in the cultivation of oil palm plantations and the production of crude palm oil and palm kernel oil. The company operates oil palm plantations, mills, and refineries, and processes fresh fruit bunches sourced from its own estates as well as from third-party suppliers. It also distributes and exports its products to various markets, mainly within Asia. The group principally operates in one operating segment, which is the palm oil business.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:AALI

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp5,875.00
Price
Rp8,433.38
GF Value