PT Natura City Developments Tbk (ISX:CITY) Beneish M-Score: -2.43 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


ISX:CITY PT Natura City Developments Tbk ISX:CITY
78 GF Score
Price Rp169.00
GF Value Rp133.99
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is PT Natura City Developments Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Natura City Developments Tbk ISX:CITY -1.74% 78 Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:CITY with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp133.99 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,682 Real Estate companies, PT Natura City Developments Tbk ranks better than 54.76% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Natura City Developments Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:CITY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.82   Med: -2.06   Max: 0.16
Current: -2.43

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Natura City Developments Tbk was 0.16. The lowest was -2.82. And the median was -2.06.


PT Natura City Developments Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Natura City Developments Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Natura City Developments Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Natura City Developments Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.15 -2.20 -1.93 -2.78 -2.27

PT Natura City Developments Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.71 -2.41 -2.27 -2.43

PT Natura City Developments Tbk Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, PT Natura City Developments Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Natura City Developments Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, PT Natura City Developments Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Natura City Developments Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:CITY
78GF Score
PT Natura City Developments Tbk ISX:CITY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PT Natura City Developments Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Natura City Developments Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9166+0.528 * 0.9288+0.404 * 0.9144+0.892 * 1.1311+0.115 * 0.7676
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8727+4.679 * 0.047983-0.327 * 1.4068
=-2.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp91,631 Mil.
Revenue was 42367.489 + 40155.299 + 33115.852 + 32670.258 = Rp148,309 Mil.
Gross Profit was 24825.344 + 22974.058 + 19407.512 + 18946.669 = Rp86,154 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp581,302 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp1,136,691 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp89,618 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp3,863 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp20,522 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp109,064 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp100,971 Mil.
Net Income was 6472.424 + 6064.656 + 4107.36 + 4291.389 = Rp20,936 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -13632.726 + 6782.896 + -20666.88 + -6089.101 = Rp-33,606 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp88,381 Mil.
Revenue was 38972.462 + 35445.773 + 30765.366 + 25935.51 = Rp131,119 Mil.
Gross Profit was 20482.464 + 19180.468 + 16737.177 + 14347.579 = Rp70,748 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp487,355 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp1,048,739 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp91,442 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp2,995 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp20,789 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp74,839 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp62,909 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(91630.626 / 148308.898) / (88380.708 / 131119.111)
=0.617836 / 0.674049
=0.9166

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(70747.688 / 131119.111) / (86153.583 / 148308.898)
=0.539568 / 0.580906
=0.9288

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (581302.31 + 89617.607) / 1136691.39) / (1 - (487354.948 + 91442.321) / 1048739.188)
=0.409761 / 0.448102
=0.9144

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=148308.898 / 131119.111
=1.1311

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2995.221 / (2995.221 + 91442.321)) / (3862.524 / (3862.524 + 89617.607))
=0.031716 / 0.041319
=0.7676

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(20521.509 / 148308.898) / (20789.11 / 131119.111)
=0.13837 / 0.158551
=0.8727

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((100971.017 + 109063.65) / 1136691.39) / ((62908.674 + 74839.297) / 1048739.188)
=0.184777 / 0.131346
=1.4068

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(20935.829 - 0 - -33605.811) / 1136691.39
=0.047983

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Natura City Developments Tbk has a M-score of -2.43 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 mean?
PT Natura City Developments Tbk (ISX:CITY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Natura City Developments Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Natura City Developments Tbk ranks #761 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 45.2%.
Is PT Natura City Developments Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Natura City Developments Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. Based on the distribution chart, PT Natura City Developments Tbk ranks #761 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, PT Natura City Developments Tbk has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Natura City Developments Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, PT Natura City Developments Tbk ranks #761 out of 1682 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts PT Natura City Developments Tbk in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Natura City Developments Tbk and its competitors. PT Natura City Developments Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Natura City Developments Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Natura City Developments Tbk (ISX:CITY) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp133.99, compared to a current price of Rp169.00 — trading 26.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. PT Natura City Developments Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Natura City Developments Tbk (ISX:CITY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Natura City Developments Tbk (ISX:CITY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Natura City Developments Tbk stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of Rp169.00 is trading 26.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of Rp133.99. GuruFocus considers PT Natura City Developments Tbk to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:CITY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.43
  • GF Value™: Rp133.99 vs. price of Rp169.00 (26.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:CITY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Natura City Developments Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan Jendral Sudirman Babakan Madang, SICC Tower, 3rd Floor, Jawa Barat, Sentul International Convention Center, Babakan Madang, Kabupaten Bogor, Sentul, IDN, 16810
PT Natura City Developments Tbk is a real estate development company. The company is engaged in the development of a commercial and residential area. The operating segments of the company include the real estate segment and the non-trade segment. The company generates maximum revenue from the Real Estate segment.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:CITY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp169.00
Price
Rp133.99
GF Value