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Pakistan Refinery (KAR:PRL) Beneish M-Score : -0.94 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Pakistan Refinery Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.94 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pakistan Refinery's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:PRL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.88   Med: -2.96   Max: 5.88
Current: -0.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pakistan Refinery was 5.88. The lowest was -4.88. And the median was -2.96.


Pakistan Refinery Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pakistan Refinery's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pakistan Refinery Beneish M-Score Chart

Pakistan Refinery Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.84 -1.76 -2.74 2.96 -2.94

Pakistan Refinery Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.44 4.37 -2.30 -2.94 -0.94

Competitive Comparison of Pakistan Refinery's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Pakistan Refinery's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pakistan Refinery's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Pakistan Refinery's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pakistan Refinery's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Pakistan Refinery Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Pakistan Refinery for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9028+0.528 * 2.4546+0.404 * 3.0446+0.892 * 1.043+0.115 * 0.9654
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4081+4.679 * 0.014669-0.327 * 1.0045
=-0.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨39,419 Mil.
Revenue was 82099.486 + 73895.699 + 49455.73 + 88814.093 = ₨294,265 Mil.
Gross Profit was 56.345 + 2151.062 + -559.095 + 4567.866 = ₨6,216 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨78,968 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨110,053 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨30,822 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨1,294 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨859 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨73,339 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨9,126 Mil.
Net Income was -2350.408 + -1207.876 + -1239.212 + 2029.627 = ₨-2,768 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2554.743 + -19215.202 + 3892.577 + 8385.691 = ₨-4,382 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨41,863 Mil.
Revenue was 93374.157 + 71956.455 + 59554.649 + 57237.856 = ₨282,123 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8933.412 + 1126.44 + 4464.843 + 104.082 = ₨14,629 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨95,605 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨124,566 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨28,863 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨1,168 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨585 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨89,797 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨3,126 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(39418.589 / 294265.008) / (41863.204 / 282123.117)
=0.133956 / 0.148386
=0.9028

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(14628.777 / 282123.117) / (6216.178 / 294265.008)
=0.051852 / 0.021124
=2.4546

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (78967.877 + 30822.032) / 110052.595) / (1 - (95605.352 + 28863.135) / 124566.205)
=0.002387 / 0.000784
=3.0446

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=294265.008 / 282123.117
=1.043

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1168.105 / (1168.105 + 28863.135)) / (1293.956 / (1293.956 + 30822.032))
=0.038896 / 0.04029
=0.9654

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(858.949 / 294265.008) / (584.701 / 282123.117)
=0.002919 / 0.002073
=1.4081

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9125.9 + 73339.335) / 110052.595) / ((3125.896 + 89796.851) / 124566.205)
=0.749326 / 0.745971
=1.0045

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-2767.869 - 0 - -4382.191) / 110052.595
=0.014669

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Pakistan Refinery has a M-score of -0.94 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Pakistan Refinery Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Pakistan Refinery Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Korangi Creek Road, P.O. Box 4612, Karachi, PAK, 75190
Pakistan Refinery Ltd is a manufacturer and supplier of petroleum products to the domestic market and Pakistan defence forces. Its products include liquefied petroleum gas, motor gasoline, kerosene oil, jet fuels, high-speed diesel and furnace oil. Its refinery operates at two locations; the main processing facility is located at Korangi Creek with supporting crude berthing and storage facility at Keamari.

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