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CarMax (NYSE:KMX) Beneish M-Score

: -2.87 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.87 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for CarMax's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KMX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.9   Med: -2.17   Max: -0.23
Current: -2.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of CarMax was -0.23. The lowest was -3.90. And the median was -2.17.


CarMax Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for CarMax's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CarMax Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.27 -1.90 -2.19 -0.74 -3.01

CarMax Quarterly Data
Nov18 Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.19 -2.95 -3.01 -2.98 -2.87

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, CarMax's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

CarMax Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, CarMax's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CarMax's Beneish M-Score falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Beneish M-Score's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



CarMax Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of CarMax for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8427+0.528 * 0.9375+0.404 * 1.0321+0.892 * 0.8016+0.115 * 1.1643
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1426+4.679 * -0.011004-0.327 * 0.9804
=-2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug23) TTM:Last Year (Aug22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $272 Mil.
Revenue was 7073.836 + 7687.063 + 5722.493 + 6505.956 = $26,989 Mil.
Gross Profit was 696.765 + 817.39 + 610.979 + 576.688 = $2,702 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,386 Mil.
Total Assets was $27,300 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,079 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $254 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,359 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,320 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $18,601 Mil.
Net Income was 118.635 + 228.298 + 69.012 + 37.58 = $454 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 2.63 + 1.214 + 7.098 + 0.363 = $11 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 124.165 + -185.285 + -378.745 + 1182.488 = $743 Mil.
Total Receivables was $402 Mil.
Revenue was 8144.803 + 9311.621 + 7686.695 + 8527.759 = $33,671 Mil.
Gross Profit was 737.145 + 875.391 + 710.989 + 836.56 = $3,160 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,872 Mil.
Total Assets was $26,471 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,843 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $282 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,576 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,132 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $18,559 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(271.874 / 26989.348) / (402.452 / 33670.878)
=0.010073 / 0.011953
=0.8427

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3160.085 / 33670.878) / (2701.822 / 26989.348)
=0.093852 / 0.100107
=0.9375

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5386.371 + 4079.401) / 27300.161) / (1 - (5872.459 + 3842.89) / 26470.543)
=0.65327 / 0.632975
=1.0321

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=26989.348 / 33670.878
=0.8016

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(281.791 / (281.791 + 3842.89)) / (254.292 / (254.292 + 4079.401))
=0.068318 / 0.058678
=1.1643

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2358.9 / 26989.348) / (2575.6 / 33670.878)
=0.087401 / 0.076493
=1.1426

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18601.261 + 2320.388) / 27300.161) / ((18558.76 + 2132.189) / 26470.543)
=0.766356 / 0.781659
=0.9804

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(453.525 - 11.305 - 742.623) / 27300.161
=-0.011004

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

CarMax has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


CarMax (NYSE:KMX) Business Description

CarMax logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
12800 Tuckahoe Creek Parkway, Richmond, VA, USA, 23238
CarMax sells, finances, and services used and new cars through a chain of about 240 used retail stores. It was formed in 1993 as a unit of Circuit City and spun off into an independent company in late 2002. Used-vehicle sales typically account for about 83% of revenue (78% in fiscal 2023 due to the chip shortage) and wholesale about 13% (20% in fiscal 2023), with the remaining portion composed of extended service plans and repair. In fiscal 2023, the company retailed and wholesaled 807,823, and 585,071 used vehicles, respectively. CarMax is the largest used-vehicle retailer in the U.S. but still estimates that it has only about 4% U.S. market share of vehicles 0-10 years old in 2022. It seeks over 5% share by the end of calendar 2025. CarMax is based in Richmond, Virginia.
Executives
Enrique N Mayor-mora officer: SVP & CFO 12800 TUCKAHOE CREEK PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23238
Mark F Oneil director C/O CARMAX, INC., 12800 TUCKAHOE CREEK PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23238
Pietro Satriano director C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., STE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
David W. Mccreight director C/O URBAN OUTFITTERS, INC., 5000 SOUTH BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19112
Peter J Bensen director MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 2915 JORIE BOULEVARD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Robert J. Hombach director C/O BAXALTA INCORPORATED, 1200 LAKESIDE DRIVE, BANNOCKBURN IL 60015
Darren C Newberry officer: SVP 12800 TUCKAHOE CREEK PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23238
Charles Joseph Wilson officer: SVP 12800 TUCKAHOE CREEK PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23238
Sona Chawla director N56 W17000 RIDGEWOOD DRIVE, MENOMONEE FALLS WI 53051
Diane L Cafritz officer: SVP & CHRO 12800 TUCKAHOE CREEK PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23238
Jill A Livesay officer: VP, Controller & PAO CARMAX, INC., 12800 TUCKAHOE CREEK PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23238
John T Standley director
Alan B. Colberg director ASSURANT, INC., ONE CHASE MANHATTAN PLAZA, 41 FL., NEW YORK NY 10005
Marcella Shinder director 12800 TUCKAHOE CREEK PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23238
Jon G Daniels officer: SVP, CAF 12800 TUCKAHOE CREEK PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23238