Old Dominion Freight Line (MEX:ODFL) Beneish M-Score: -2.79 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


MEX:ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line Inc MEX:ODFL
85 GF Score
Price MXN3,845.00
GF Value MXN3,251.23
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Old Dominion Freight Line Beneish M-Score?

Old Dominion Freight Line MEX:ODFL +0.93% 85 Beneish M-Score is -2.79 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:ODFL with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN3,251.23 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Old Dominion Freight Line ranks better than 69.98% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Old Dominion Freight Line's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ODFL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.26   Med: -2.74   Max: -2
Current: -2.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Old Dominion Freight Line was -2.00. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.74.


Old Dominion Freight Line Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Old Dominion Freight Line's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Old Dominion Freight Line Beneish M-Score Chart

Old Dominion Freight Line Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.81 -2.67 -3.02 -2.75

Old Dominion Freight Line Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -2.83 -2.87 -2.75 -2.79

MEX:ODFL vs XPO, SAIA, KNX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, Old Dominion Freight Line's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Old Dominion Freight Line Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Old Dominion Freight Line's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Old Dominion Freight Line's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:ODFL
85GF Score
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc MEX:ODFL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Old Dominion Freight Line Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Old Dominion Freight Line for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9971+0.528 * 1.0426+0.404 * 0.9848+0.892 * 0.8808+0.115 * 0.9084
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9951+4.679 * -0.070573-0.327 * 0.9941
=-2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN10,216 Mil.
Revenue was 24068.173 + 23538.78 + 25801.319 + 26506.317 = MXN99,915 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7747.1 + 7427.567 + 8783.185 + 8924.419 = MXN32,882 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN16,703 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN102,010 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN80,559 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN6,732 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN5,283 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN10,670 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN361 Mil.
Net Income was 4296.435 + 4131.768 + 4970.306 + 5058.013 = MXN18,457 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -29.646 + -1.08 + -20.142 + -25.551 = MXN-76 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 6737.63 + 5587.043 + 8025.111 + 5382.27 = MXN25,732 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN11,631 Mil.
Revenue was 28127.12 + 28902.434 + 28948.896 + 27456.283 = MXN113,435 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9207.949 + 9725.305 + 10144.226 + 9843.758 = MXN38,921 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN15,024 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN112,342 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN92,008 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN6,932 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN6,028 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN11,402 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN818 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10215.615 / 99914.589) / (11631.346 / 113434.733)
=0.102243 / 0.102538
=0.9971

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(38921.238 / 113434.733) / (32882.271 / 99914.589)
=0.343116 / 0.329104
=1.0426

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16702.752 + 80558.977) / 102010.046) / (1 - (15024.175 + 92007.911) / 112341.991)
=0.046548 / 0.047266
=0.9848

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=99914.589 / 113434.733
=0.8808

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6931.514 / (6931.514 + 92007.911)) / (6732.019 / (6732.019 + 80558.977))
=0.070058 / 0.077122
=0.9084

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5283.469 / 99914.589) / (6027.737 / 113434.733)
=0.05288 / 0.053138
=0.9951

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((360.582 + 10670.381) / 102010.046) / ((818.123 + 11402.439) / 112341.991)
=0.108136 / 0.10878
=0.9941

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(18456.522 - -76.419 - 25732.054) / 102010.046
=-0.070573

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Old Dominion Freight Line has a M-score of -2.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.79 mean?
Old Dominion Freight Line (MEX:ODFL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.79 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Old Dominion Freight Line and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Old Dominion Freight Line ranks #290 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 30%.
Is Old Dominion Freight Line's Beneish M-Score too high?
Old Dominion Freight Line's current Beneish M-Score is -2.79. Based on the distribution chart, Old Dominion Freight Line ranks #290 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Old Dominion Freight Line has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Old Dominion Freight Line's Beneish M-Score compare to XPO and SAIA?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Old Dominion Freight Line ranks #290 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Old Dominion Freight Line in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Old Dominion Freight Line and its competitors. Old Dominion Freight Line's current Beneish M-Score is -2.79. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Old Dominion Freight Line stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Old Dominion Freight Line (MEX:ODFL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN3,251.23, compared to a current price of MXN3,845.00 — trading 18.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.79. Old Dominion Freight Line's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Old Dominion Freight Line (MEX:ODFL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.79 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Old Dominion Freight Line (MEX:ODFL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Old Dominion Freight Line stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,845.00 is trading 18.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN3,251.23. GuruFocus considers Old Dominion Freight Line to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ODFL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.79
  • GF Value™: MXN3,251.23 vs. price of MXN3,845.00 (18.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ODFL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Old Dominion Freight Line Business Description

Address 500 Old Dominion Way, Thomasville, NC, USA, 27360
Old Dominion Freight Line is the second-largest less-than-truckload carrier in the United States (following FedEx Freight), with roughly 260 service centers and 11,000-plus tractors. It is one of the most disciplined and efficient providers in the trucking industry, and its profitability and capital returns are well above those of its peers. Strategic initiatives focus on increasing network density through market-share gains and on maintaining industry-leading service (including ultralow cargo claims) through steadfast infrastructure investment.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ODFL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,845.00
Price
MXN3,251.23
GF Value