Old Dominion Freight Line (MEX:ODFL) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line Inc MEX:ODFL
80 GF Score
Price MXN3,900.00
GF Value MXN3,199.48
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Old Dominion Freight Line Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Old Dominion Freight Line is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Old Dominion Freight Line  (MEX:ODFL) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Old Dominion Freight Line Risk Assessment Related Terms

MEX:ODFL vs XPO, KNX, SAIA: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, Old Dominion Freight Line's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Old Dominion Freight Line Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Old Dominion Freight Line's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Old Dominion Freight Line's Risk Assessment falls into.


MEX:ODFL
80GF Score
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc MEX:ODFL
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Old Dominion Freight Line (MEX:ODFL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Old Dominion Freight Line stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,900.00 is trading 21.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN3,199.48. GuruFocus considers Old Dominion Freight Line to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ODFL:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: MXN3,199.48 vs. price of MXN3,900.00 (21.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ODFL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Old Dominion Freight Line Business Description

Address 500 Old Dominion Way, Thomasville, NC, USA, 27360
Old Dominion Freight Line is the second-largest less-than-truckload carrier in the United States (following FedEx Freight), with roughly 260 service centers and 11,000-plus tractors. It is one of the most disciplined and efficient providers in the trucking industry, and its profitability and capital returns are well above those of its peers. Strategic initiatives focus on increasing network density through market-share gains and on maintaining industry-leading service (including ultralow cargo claims) through steadfast infrastructure investment.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ODFL

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,900.00
Price
MXN3,199.48
GF Value