Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) Beneish M-Score: -2.50 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


MEX:PM Philip Morris International Inc MEX:PM
75 GF Score
Price MXN3,138.00
GF Value MXN2,509.10
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score?

Philip Morris International MEX:PM +0.22% 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.50 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:PM with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,509.10 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 45 Tobacco Products companies, Philip Morris International ranks better than 55.56% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.5 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:PM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.96   Med: -2.63   Max: -2.19
Current: -2.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Philip Morris International was -2.19. The lowest was -2.96. And the median was -2.63.


Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score Chart

Philip Morris International Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.22 -2.62 -2.87 -2.36

Philip Morris International Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.55 -2.63 -2.36 -2.50

MEX:PM vs MO, TPB, UVV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:PM
75GF Score
Philip Morris International Inc MEX:PM
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Philip Morris International for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9747+0.528 * 0.9764+0.404 * 0.9364+0.892 * 0.9975+0.115 * 0.9869
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0315+4.679 * -0.015166-0.327 * 0.989
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN115,229 Mil.
Revenue was 182959.774 + 186575.064 + 198942.849 + 190928.088 = MXN759,406 Mil.
Gross Profit was 124515.794 + 122474.771 + 134976.624 + 129187.141 = MXN511,154 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN461,673 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,242,687 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN148,932 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN37,068 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN231,352 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN472,853 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN789,977 Mil.
Net Income was 43963.723 + 38550.204 + 63801.128 + 57221.939 = MXN203,537 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 90.164 + -162.051 + -256.819 + -979.118 = MXN-1,308 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -7195.047 + 84788.841 + 81851.82 + 64245.23 = MXN223,691 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN118,514 Mil.
Revenue was 190281.718 + 202425.424 + 195150.563 + 173454.735 = MXN761,312 Mil.
Gross Profit was 128272.914 + 131036.363 + 128873.014 + 112173.991 = MXN500,356 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN454,090 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,331,399 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN154,091 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN37,726 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN224,841 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN574,609 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN793,389 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(115228.953 / 759405.775) / (118514.353 / 761312.44)
=0.151736 / 0.155671
=0.9747

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(500356.282 / 761312.44) / (511154.33 / 759405.775)
=0.657229 / 0.673098
=0.9764

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (461673.186 + 148932.069) / 1242687.456) / (1 - (454090.208 + 154091.163) / 1331399.199)
=0.508641 / 0.543201
=0.9364

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=759405.775 / 761312.44
=0.9975

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(37726.32 / (37726.32 + 154091.163)) / (37067.776 / (37067.776 + 148932.069))
=0.196678 / 0.199289
=0.9869

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(231352.49 / 759405.775) / (224840.903 / 761312.44)
=0.304649 / 0.295333
=1.0315

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((789976.522 + 472853.46) / 1242687.456) / ((793389.455 + 574609.464) / 1331399.199)
=1.016209 / 1.02749
=0.989

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(203536.994 - -1307.824 - 223690.844) / 1242687.456
=-0.015166

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Philip Morris International has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.50 mean?
Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.50 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Philip Morris International ranks #20 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 44.4%.
Is Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score too high?
Philip Morris International's current Beneish M-Score is -2.50. Based on the distribution chart, Philip Morris International ranks #20 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Philip Morris International has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score compare to MO and TPB?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Philip Morris International ranks #20 out of 45 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Philip Morris International in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Tobacco Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors. Philip Morris International's current Beneish M-Score is -2.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Philip Morris International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,509.10, compared to a current price of MXN3,138.00 — trading 25.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.50. Philip Morris International's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Philip Morris International (MEX:PM), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.50 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,138.00 is trading 25.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,509.10. GuruFocus considers Philip Morris International to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:PM:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.50
  • GF Value™: MXN2,509.10 vs. price of MXN3,138.00 (25.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:PM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Philip Morris International Business Description

Address 677 Washington Boulevard, Suite 1100, Stamford, CT, USA, 06901
Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:PM

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,138.00
Price
MXN2,509.10
GF Value