Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN122.06 (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:PM Philip Morris International Inc MEX:PM
71 GF Score
Price MXN3,165.00
GF Value MXN2,485.19
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Philip Morris International MEX:PM 71 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.06 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:PM with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,485.19 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Philip Morris International's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN-8.698. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN122.06 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Philip Morris International's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Philip Morris International was 5.80% per year. The lowest was 2.90% per year. And the median was 4.60% per year.

As of today (2026-07-05), Philip Morris International's current stock price is MXN3165.00. Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN122.06. Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 25.93.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Philip Morris International was 27.59. The lowest was 11.38. And the median was 16.79.


Philip Morris International  (MEX:PM) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=3165.00/122.06
=25.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Philip Morris International was 27.59. The lowest was 11.38. And the median was 16.79.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Philip Morris International Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 119.94 121.74 104.63 139.96 123.50

Philip Morris International Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 129.50 125.55 124.13 123.50 122.06

MEX:PM vs MO, TPB, UVV: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:PM
71GF Score
Philip Morris International Inc MEX:PM
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Philip Morris International's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-8.698/330.2130*330.2130
=-8.698

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Philip Morris International Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 25.278 241.018 34.633
201609 35.380 241.428 48.391
201612 22.744 241.432 31.108
201703 6.680 243.801 9.048
201706 34.430 244.955 46.414
201709 17.342 246.819 23.201
201712 29.946 246.524 40.112
201803 11.866 249.554 15.701
201806 45.289 251.989 59.348
201809 16.299 252.439 21.321
201812 26.365 251.233 34.653
201903 11.432 254.202 14.850
201906 40.294 256.143 51.946
201909 23.967 256.759 30.824
201912 38.399 256.974 49.343
202003 14.162 258.115 18.118
202006 26.445 257.797 33.873
202009 49.088 260.280 62.277
202012 38.510 260.474 48.821
202103 3.354 264.877 4.181
202106 44.686 271.696 54.310
202109 49.006 274.310 58.993
202112 49.284 278.802 58.372
202203 11.405 287.504 13.099
202206 42.453 296.311 47.310
202209 36.497 296.808 40.605
202212 34.495 296.797 38.379
202303 -14.323 301.836 -15.670
202306 34.023 305.109 36.822
202309 34.120 307.789 36.606
202312 32.692 306.746 35.193
202403 -1.878 312.332 -1.986
202406 50.180 314.175 52.742
202409 37.495 315.301 39.268
202412 49.914 315.605 52.224
202503 -9.907 319.799 -10.230
202506 36.933 322.561 37.809
202509 48.239 324.800 49.043
202512 49.290 324.054 50.227
202603 -8.698 330.213 -8.698

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN122.06 mean?
Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN122.06 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors.
Is Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Philip Morris International's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.06. Overall, Philip Morris International has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to MO and TPB?
Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN122.06 can be compared against companies in the Tobacco Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Tobacco Products company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors. Philip Morris International's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Philip Morris International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,485.19, compared to a current price of MXN3,165.00 — trading 27.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.06. Philip Morris International's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Philip Morris International (MEX:PM), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN122.06 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN3,165.00 is trading 27.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,485.19. GuruFocus considers Philip Morris International to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:PM:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN122.06
  • GF Value™: MXN2,485.19 vs. price of MXN3,165.00 (27.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:PM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Philip Morris International Business Description

Address 677 Washington Boulevard, Suite 1100, Stamford, CT, USA, 06901
Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:PM

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN3,165.00
Price
MXN2,485.19
GF Value