Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
Philip Morris International Volatility Related Terms
MEX:PM vs MO, TPB, UVV: Volatility Comparison
For the Tobacco subindustry, Philip Morris International's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Philip Morris International Volatility vs Tobacco Products Industry
For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Philip Morris International's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Philip Morris International's Volatility falls into.
Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) Volatility Calculation
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) has a Volatility of 19.76% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors.
Is Philip Morris International's Volatility too high?
Philip Morris International's current Volatility is 19.76%. Overall, Philip Morris International has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Philip Morris International's Volatility compare to MO and TPB?
Philip Morris International's Volatility of 19.76% can be compared against companies in the Tobacco Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for a Tobacco Products company?
A good Volatility depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors. Philip Morris International's current Volatility is 19.76%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Philip Morris International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,509.10, compared to a current price of MXN3,138.00 — trading 25.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 19.76%. Philip Morris International's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Philip Morris International (MEX:PM), the current Volatility is 19.76% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Philip Morris International (MEX:PM) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN3,138.00 is trading 25.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,509.10.
GuruFocus considers Philip Morris International to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for MEX:PM:
Volatility: 19.76%
GF Value™: MXN2,509.10 vs. price of MXN3,138.00 (25.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:PM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.
75GF Score
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