Wells Fargo Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Wells Fargo for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.897 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9994 | + | 0.892 * 1.0799 | + | 0.115 * 1 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.0005 | + | 4.679 * 0.006668 | - | 0.327 * 0.8349 |
| = | -2.42 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec24) TTM: | Last Year (Dec23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was MXN883,364 Mil.
Revenue was 424997.454 + 401012.65 + 379024.611 + 346247.668 = MXN1,551,282 Mil.
Gross Profit was 424997.454 + 401012.65 + 379024.611 + 346247.668 = MXN1,551,282 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN0 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN40,248,268 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN405,289 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN142,801 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN698,455 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN3,609,663 Mil.
Net Income was 105926.1 + 100696.194 + 89951.706 + 76658.102 = MXN373,232 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = MXN0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 185699.153 + 82817.402 + 37556.211 + -201229.592 = MXN104,843 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was MXN911,924 Mil.
Revenue was 347598.65 + 363305.935 + 352015.699 + 373640.225 = MXN1,436,561 Mil.
Gross Profit was 347598.65 + 363305.935 + 352015.699 + 373640.225 = MXN1,436,561 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN0 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN32,802,191 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN309,542 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN109,063 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN646,469 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN3,523,650 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (883364.029 / 1551282.383) | / | (911924.499 / 1436560.509) |
| = | 0.569441 | / | 0.634797 |
| | = | 0.897 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (1436560.509 / 1436560.509) | / | (1551282.383 / 1551282.383) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 405288.818) / 40248268.338) | / | (1 - (0 + 309542.386) / 32802191.064) |
| = | 0.98993 | / | 0.990563 |
| | = | 0.9994 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 1551282.383 | / | 1436560.509 |
| | = | 1.0799 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (109062.574 / (109062.574 + 309542.386)) | / | (142801.345 / (142801.345 + 405288.818)) |
| = | 0.260538 | / | 0.260544 |
| | = | 1 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (698455.482 / 1551282.383) | / | (646469.044 / 1436560.509) |
| = | 0.450244 | / | 0.450012 |
| | = | 1.0005 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((3609662.842 + 0) / 40248268.338) | / | ((3523650.192 + 0) / 32802191.064) |
| = | 0.089685 | / | 0.107421 |
| | = | 0.8349 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (373232.102 - 0 | - | 104843.174) | / | 40248268.338 |
| | = | 0.006668 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Wells Fargo has a M-score of -2.42 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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