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Moog (MOG.B) Beneish M-Score : -2.16 (As of Mar. 02, 2025)


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What is Moog Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.16 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Moog's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MOG.B' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.9   Med: -2.51   Max: -2.16
Current: -2.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Moog was -2.16. The lowest was -2.90. And the median was -2.51.


Moog Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Moog's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Moog Beneish M-Score Chart

Moog Annual Data
Trend Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.59 -2.55 -2.26 -2.42

Moog Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.34 -2.40 -2.42 -2.16

Competitive Comparison of Moog's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Moog's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Moog's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Moog's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moog's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Moog Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Moog for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9864+0.528 * 0.9817+0.404 * 0.9386+0.892 * 1.0722+0.115 * 1.0602
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9886+4.679 * 0.062701-0.327 * 0.9945
=-2.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,208 Mil.
Revenue was 910.315 + 917.272 + 904.735 + 930.303 = $3,663 Mil.
Gross Profit was 242.275 + 245.479 + 251.463 + 266.778 = $1,006 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,246 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,193 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $991 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $95 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $504 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $914 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,104 Mil.
Net Income was 53.113 + 43.045 + 56.36 + 60.003 = $213 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -5.308 + -29.808 + -8.253 + -16.683 = $-60 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -132.284 + 155.789 + 30.166 + -44.002 = $10 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,142 Mil.
Revenue was 856.85 + 872.051 + 850.176 + 836.792 = $3,416 Mil.
Gross Profit was 233.199 + 243.898 + 222.633 + 221.315 = $921 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,117 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,988 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $902 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $92 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $475 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,010 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $920 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1208.069 / 3662.625) / (1142.17 / 3415.869)
=0.329837 / 0.334372
=0.9864

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(921.045 / 3415.869) / (1005.995 / 3662.625)
=0.269637 / 0.274665
=0.9817

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2245.748 + 990.831) / 4193.012) / (1 - (2116.615 + 902.171) / 3987.955)
=0.228102 / 0.243024
=0.9386

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3662.625 / 3415.869
=1.0722

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(92.496 / (92.496 + 902.171)) / (95.26 / (95.26 + 990.831))
=0.092992 / 0.087709
=1.0602

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(503.943 / 3662.625) / (475.396 / 3415.869)
=0.137591 / 0.139173
=0.9886

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1104.151 + 913.819) / 4193.012) / ((920.103 + 1009.831) / 3987.955)
=0.48127 / 0.483941
=0.9945

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(212.521 - -60.052 - 9.669) / 4193.012
=0.062701

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Moog has a M-score of -2.16 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Moog Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 Jamison Road, East Aurora, New York, NY, USA, 14052-0018
Moog Inc is a manufacturer of precision motion and fluid control systems for the aerospace and defense markets. The company operates through four segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial. It generates the majority of its revenue from Space and Defense which provides critical defense components and motion-control systems used in defense vehicle platforms, missile systems, naval ships, and submarines; high-performance components and systems used for space launch vehicles, satellites, and spacecraft vehicles. This segment also offers cutting-edge solutions for applications, including space exploration, defense platforms, and advanced systems for missile guidance, propulsion, and vehicle controls.