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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -3.14 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Northern Oil & Gas was 12.33. The lowest was -9.42. And the median was -2.64.
The historical data trend for Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Northern Oil & Gas Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -3.04 | -1.83 | 0.06 | -1.50 | -2.67 |
Northern Oil & Gas Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.92 | -2.67 | -2.98 | -2.83 | -3.14 |
For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Northern Oil & Gas for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.8131 | + | 0.528 * 1.2321 | + | 0.404 * 1.0347 | + | 0.892 * 1.1961 | + | 0.115 * 0.7375 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.7113 | + | 4.679 * -0.191317 | - | 0.327 * 0.7598 | |||||||
= | -3.14 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Sep24) TTM: | Last Year (Sep23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $354 Mil. Revenue was 515.488 + 564.194 + 534.879 + 546.145 = $2,161 Mil. Gross Profit was 208.258 + 238.134 + 204.264 + 246.992 = $898 Mil. Total Current Assets was $519 Mil. Total Assets was $5,055 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,480 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $687 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $44 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $420 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,953 Mil. Net Income was 298.446 + 138.556 + 11.606 + 388.853 = $837 Mil. Non Operating Income was 238.27 + -3.365 + -138.475 + 247.455 = $344 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 385.761 + 340.477 + 392.147 + 342.362 = $1,461 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $364 Mil. Revenue was 513.521 + 418.785 + 428.558 + 445.647 = $1,807 Mil. Gross Profit was 255.066 + 190.87 + 220.934 + 257.849 = $925 Mil. Total Current Assets was $470 Mil. Total Assets was $4,305 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,789 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $412 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $52 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $602 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,057 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (353.506 / 2160.706) | / | (363.516 / 1806.511) | |
= | 0.163607 | / | 0.201225 | |
= | 0.8131 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (924.719 / 1806.511) | / | (897.648 / 2160.706) | |
= | 0.511881 | / | 0.415442 | |
= | 1.2321 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (518.923 + 4480.019) / 5055.327) | / | (1 - (469.626 + 3788.636) / 4304.666) | |
= | 0.011154 | / | 0.01078 | |
= | 1.0347 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 2160.706 | / | 1806.511 | |
= | 1.1961 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (412.152 / (412.152 + 3788.636)) | / | (687.415 / (687.415 + 4480.019)) | |
= | 0.098113 | / | 0.133028 | |
= | 0.7375 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (44.489 / 2160.706) | / | (52.294 / 1806.511) | |
= | 0.02059 | / | 0.028948 | |
= | 0.7113 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((1953.099 + 420.288) / 5055.327) | / | ((2057.359 + 602.491) / 4304.666) | |
= | 0.469482 | / | 0.617899 | |
= | 0.7598 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (837.461 - 343.885 | - | 1460.747) | / | 5055.327 | |
= | -0.191317 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Northern Oil & Gas has a M-score of -3.14 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Robert B. Rowling | 10 percent owner | 4001 MAPLE AVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219 |
William F Kimble | director | 6900 E. LAYTON AVE., SUITE 900, DENVER CO 80237 |
Jennifer S. Pomerantz | director | 4350 BAKER ROAD, SUITE 400, MINNETONKA MN 55343 |
Cresta Greenwood, Llc | 10 percent owner | 4001 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219 |
Rowling Family 2012 Long Term Trust | other: See Remarks | 4001 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219 |
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Stuart G. Lasher | director | 4931 NEW PROVIDENCE, TAMPA FL 33629 |
Ttbr Investments Llc | 10 percent owner | 4001 MAPLE AVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219 |
Trbrjr Investments Llc | 10 percent owner | 4001 MAPLE AVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219 |
Michael D. Kelly | officer: EVP of Finance | 3762 INGOLD STREET, HOUSTON TX 77005 |
Crestview Partners Iii Gp, L.p. | 10 percent owner | C/O CRESTVIEW PARTNERS, 590 MADISON AVENUE, 42ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Brandon R. Elliott | officer: EVP, Corporate Devp & Strategy | 315 MANITOBA AVENUE, SUITE 200, WAYZATA MN 55391 |
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