Cebu Air (PHS:CEB) Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


PHS:CEB Cebu Air Inc PHS:CEB
85 GF Score
Price ₱29.75
GF Value ₱48.74
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Cebu Air Beneish M-Score?

Cebu Air PHS:CEB -1.98% 85 Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates PHS:CEB with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱48.74 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Cebu Air ranks better than 57.25% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:CEB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -50.67   Med: -2.69   Max: 3.86
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cebu Air was 3.86. The lowest was -50.67. And the median was -2.69.


Cebu Air Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Cebu Air Beneish M-Score Chart

Cebu Air Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.48 3.86 -3.34 -2.64 -2.71

Cebu Air Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 -2.71 -2.48 -2.71 -2.66

PHS:CEB vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cebu Air Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score falls into.


PHS:CEB
85GF Score
Cebu Air Inc PHS:CEB
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Cebu Air Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cebu Air for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1601+0.528 * 0.8724+0.404 * 0.8984+0.892 * 1.1163+0.115 * 0.9532
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9614+4.679 * -0.070275-0.327 * 0.9717
=-2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₱3,829 Mil.
Revenue was 33323.354 + 32324.337 + 24269.718 + 32911.648 = ₱122,829 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5012.356 + 5857.597 + 2250.626 + 8320.756 = ₱21,441 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₱39,150 Mil.
Total Assets was ₱265,461 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₱210,586 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₱20,065 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₱8,879 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₱65,256 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₱173,687 Mil.
Net Income was -419.936 + 2836.456 + 485.551 + 8505.197 = ₱11,407 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₱0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 7848.401 + 11666.073 + 2174.154 + 8373.921 = ₱30,063 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₱2,957 Mil.
Revenue was 30421.806 + 30376.89 + 23092.42 + 26136.391 = ₱110,028 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3920.463 + 5721.383 + 2192.252 + 4922.191 = ₱16,756 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₱35,562 Mil.
Total Assets was ₱239,267 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₱187,930 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₱16,993 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₱8,273 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₱67,020 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₱154,610 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3829.158 / 122829.057) / (2956.645 / 110027.507)
=0.031175 / 0.026872
=1.1601

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(16756.289 / 110027.507) / (21441.335 / 122829.057)
=0.152292 / 0.174562
=0.8724

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (39150.136 + 210586.094) / 265461.143) / (1 - (35561.782 + 187929.852) / 239267.193)
=0.059236 / 0.065933
=0.8984

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=122829.057 / 110027.507
=1.1163

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16992.671 / (16992.671 + 187929.852)) / (20064.806 / (20064.806 + 210586.094))
=0.082922 / 0.086992
=0.9532

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8879.381 / 122829.057) / (8273.328 / 110027.507)
=0.072291 / 0.075193
=0.9614

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((173686.978 + 65256.01) / 265461.143) / ((154610.415 + 67020.268) / 239267.193)
=0.900105 / 0.926289
=0.9717

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(11407.268 - 0 - 30062.549) / 265461.143
=-0.070275

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cebu Air has a M-score of -2.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 mean?
Cebu Air (PHS:CEB) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Cebu Air and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Cebu Air ranks #413 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 42.8%.
Is Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score too high?
Cebu Air's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Based on the distribution chart, Cebu Air ranks #413 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Cebu Air has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cebu Air's Beneish M-Score compare to DAL and UAL?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Cebu Air ranks #413 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Cebu Air in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Cebu Air and its competitors. Cebu Air's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cebu Air stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cebu Air (PHS:CEB) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱48.74, compared to a current price of ₱29.75 — trading 39% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Cebu Air's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cebu Air (PHS:CEB), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Cebu Air (PHS:CEB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cebu Air stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₱29.75 is trading 39% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₱48.74. GuruFocus considers Cebu Air to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for PHS:CEB:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.66
  • GF Value™: ₱48.74 vs. price of ₱29.75 (39% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:CEB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Cebu Air Business Description

Address Sergio Osmena Boulevard, Basement 2, R 01-02, Robinsons Galleria Cebu, Barangay Tejero, General Maxilom Avenue corner, Cebu, CEB, PHL, 6000
Cebu Air Inc is a carrier in the Philippine air transportation industry. It has two reportable operating segments, has three reportable operating segments, which is the airline business (Parent Company, CEBGO and AirSWIFT), line, light and base maintenance business (A-Plus) and ground handling business (1Aviation). The revenue of the company was mainly derived from rendering transportation services, line, light and base maintenance services and ground handling services.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:CEB

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱29.75
Price
₱48.74
GF Value