Cebu Air (PHS:CEB) Free Cash Flow: ₱-3,105 Mil (TTM As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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PHS:CEB Cebu Air Inc PHS:CEB
81 GF Score
Price ₱28.90
GF Value ₱49.92
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Cebu Air Free Cash Flow?

Cebu Air PHS:CEB +0.35% 81 Free Cash Flow is ₱-3,105 Mil as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates PHS:CEB with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱49.92 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Cebu Air's total free cash flow for the months ended in Mar. 2026 was ₱1,047 Mil. Its total free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was ₱-3,105 Mil.

Cebu Air's Free Cash Flow per Share for the months ended in Mar. 2026 was ₱1.71. Its free cash flow per share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was ₱2.99.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

During the past 13 years, Cebu Air's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 166.40% per year. The lowest was -154.80% per year. And the median was 30.10% per year.


Cebu Air  (PHS:CEB) Free Cash Flow Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is because research shows that five years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Mar26, Cebu Air's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Mar26)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-6.48266667/28.55+0.0746
=-15.25 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


Cebu Air Free Cash Flow Related Terms


Cebu Air Free Cash Flow Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Cebu Air's Free Cash Flow can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Cebu Air Free Cash Flow Chart

Cebu Air Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Free Cash Flow
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -11,285.54 2,076.87 -13,045.28 -24,468.04 -2,386.09

Cebu Air Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Free Cash Flow Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,766.20 6,071.12 -430.26 -9,793.14 1,046.93
PHS:CEB
81GF Score
Cebu Air Inc PHS:CEB
Free Cash Flow is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Cebu Air Free Cash Flow Calculation

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

Cebu Air's Free Cash Flow for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (A: Dec. 2025 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=27079.147+-29465.233
=-2,386

Cebu Air's Free Cash Flow for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (Q: Mar. 2026 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=7848.401+-6801.47
=1,047

Free Cash Flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was ₱-3,105 Mil.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Free Cash Flow →
What does a Free Cash Flow of ₱-3,105 Mil mean?
Cebu Air (PHS:CEB) has a Free Cash Flow of ₱-3,105 Mil as of Mar. 2026. Free cash flow represents the total amount of cash a company has on hand following operating and capital expenditures. View historial data for Cebu Air and its competitors.
Is Cebu Air's Free Cash Flow too high?
Cebu Air's current Free Cash Flow is ₱-3,105 Mil. Overall, Cebu Air has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cebu Air's Free Cash Flow compare to DAL and UAL?
Cebu Air's Free Cash Flow of ₱-3,105 Mil can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Free Cash Flow for a Transportation company?
A good Free Cash Flow depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Free Cash Flow should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Free Cash Flow mean?
A high Free Cash Flow can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Free cash flow represents the total amount of cash a company has on hand following operating and capital expenditures. View historial data for Cebu Air and its competitors. Cebu Air's current Free Cash Flow is ₱-3,105 Mil. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cebu Air stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cebu Air (PHS:CEB) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱49.92, compared to a current price of ₱28.90 — trading 42.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Free Cash Flow is ₱-3,105 Mil. Cebu Air's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Free Cash Flow calculated?
Free Cash Flow is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cebu Air (PHS:CEB), the current Free Cash Flow is ₱-3,105 Mil as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Cebu Air (PHS:CEB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cebu Air stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₱28.90 is trading 42.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₱49.92. GuruFocus considers Cebu Air to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for PHS:CEB:

  • Free Cash Flow: ₱-3,105 Mil
  • GF Value™: ₱49.92 vs. price of ₱28.90 (42.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:CEB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Cebu Air Business Description

Address Sergio Osmena Boulevard, Basement 2, R 01-02, Robinsons Galleria Cebu, Barangay Tejero, General Maxilom Avenue corner, Cebu, CEB, PHL, 6000
Cebu Air Inc is a carrier in the Philippine air transportation industry. It has two reportable operating segments, has three reportable operating segments, which is the airline business (Parent Company, CEBGO and AirSWIFT), line, light and base maintenance business (A-Plus) and ground handling business (1Aviation). The revenue of the company was mainly derived from rendering transportation services, line, light and base maintenance services and ground handling services.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:CEB

Free Cash Flow is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱28.90
Price
₱49.92
GF Value