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Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical (SHSE:605008) Beneish M-Score : -1.03 (As of Apr. 16, 2025)


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What is Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.03 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:605008' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.71   Med: -1.82   Max: 0.06
Current: -1.03

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical was 0.06. The lowest was -2.71. And the median was -1.82.


Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical Beneish M-Score Chart

Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.06 -2.59 -1.82 -2.71 -1.03

Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -2.27 -2.59 -2.13 -1.03

Competitive Comparison of Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8053+0.528 * 1.2137+0.404 * 1.6578+0.892 * 2.5663+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.3369+4.679 * -0.049299-0.327 * 1.0934
=-1.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥738 Mil.
Revenue was 1100.957 + 947.459 + 814.145 + 771.102 = ¥3,634 Mil.
Gross Profit was 83.606 + 82.187 + 82.973 + 85.523 = ¥334 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥1,412 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥5,161 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥3,200 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥21 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,334 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥686 Mil.
Net Income was -8.357 + 6.009 + 32.05 + 64.521 = ¥94 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 227.925 + 29.374 + 153.834 + -62.495 = ¥349 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥357 Mil.
Revenue was 311.509 + 428.09 + 300.842 + 375.488 = ¥1,416 Mil.
Gross Profit was 18.475 + 53.301 + 12.701 + 73.626 = ¥158 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥1,522 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥4,698 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,875 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥24 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥2,000 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥515 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(737.524 / 3633.663) / (356.871 / 1415.929)
=0.20297 / 0.25204
=0.8053

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(158.103 / 1415.929) / (334.289 / 3633.663)
=0.11166 / 0.091998
=1.2137

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1411.667 + 3200.273) / 5160.61) / (1 - (1522.407 + 2874.524) / 4698.233)
=0.106319 / 0.064131
=1.6578

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3633.663 / 1415.929
=2.5663

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 2874.524)) / (0 / (0 + 3200.273))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(21.139 / 3633.663) / (24.453 / 1415.929)
=0.005818 / 0.01727
=0.3369

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((686.499 + 2333.649) / 5160.61) / ((514.726 + 1999.971) / 4698.233)
=0.585231 / 0.535243
=1.0934

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(94.223 - 0 - 348.638) / 5160.61
=-0.049299

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical has a M-score of -1.03 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 108, Qijiashan Gangkou Road, Beilun District, Zhejiang Province, Ningbo, CHN, 315803
Ningbo Changhong Polymer Scientific & Technical Inc is engaged in production and sales of styrene-based thermoplastic elastomers (TPES). The company's products include Sstyrene-butadiene-styrene (SBS) and Styrene-ethylene-butylene-styrene (SEBS). Its products are used in many industrial fields such as shoes materials, asphalt modification, plastic modification, adhesive agent, medicine, health products, waterproofing materials, and construction materials, environmental-friendly plastic runway and bicycle tyre.

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