Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co (TSE:2918) Beneish M-Score: -2.89 (As of Jul. 13, 2026)


TSE:2918 Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Ltd TSE:2918
77 GF Score
Price 円2,631.00
GF Value 円2,872.80
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co TSE:2918 +0.50% 77 Beneish M-Score is -2.89 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:2918 with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,872.80 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,851 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co ranks better than 77.96% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2918' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.82   Max: -2.67
Current: -2.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co was -2.67. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.82.


Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.72 -2.67 -2.91 -2.89

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.89 0.00

TSE:2918 vs KHC, GIS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:2918
77GF Score
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Ltd TSE:2918
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0623+0.528 * 0.9215+0.404 * 0.8949+0.892 * 1.0511+0.115 * 1.1122
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0856+4.679 * -0.088215-0.327 * 1.0389
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb26) TTM:Last Year (Feb25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円19,244 Mil.
Revenue was 円233,833 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円43,950 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円36,601 Mil.
Total Assets was 円131,735 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円83,910 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円7,317 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円15,693 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円31,678 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円31,355 Mil.
Net Income was 円5,339 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円16,960 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円17,235 Mil.
Revenue was 円222,467 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円38,533 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円32,818 Mil.
Total Assets was 円120,924 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円76,593 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円7,502 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円13,753 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円25,647 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円30,045 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(19244 / 233833) / (17235 / 222467)
=0.082298 / 0.077472
=1.0623

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(38533 / 222467) / (43950 / 233833)
=0.173208 / 0.187955
=0.9215

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (36601 + 83910) / 131735) / (1 - (32818 + 76593) / 120924)
=0.085201 / 0.095209
=0.8949

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=233833 / 222467
=1.0511

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7502 / (7502 + 76593)) / (7317 / (7317 + 83910))
=0.089209 / 0.080207
=1.1122

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(15693 / 233833) / (13753 / 222467)
=0.067112 / 0.06182
=1.0856

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((31355 + 31678) / 131735) / ((30045 + 25647) / 120924)
=0.478483 / 0.460554
=1.0389

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5339 - 0 - 16960) / 131735
=-0.088215

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.89 mean?
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co (TSE:2918) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.89 as of Jul. 13, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co ranks #408 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 22%.
Is Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.89. Based on the distribution chart, Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co ranks #408 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co ranks #408 out of 1851 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co in the top 22% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co and its competitors. Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.89. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co (TSE:2918) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,872.80, compared to a current price of 円2,631.00 — trading 8.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.89. Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co (TSE:2918), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.89 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co (TSE:2918) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円2,631.00 is trading 8.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,872.80. GuruFocus considers Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2918:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.89
  • GF Value™: 円2,872.80 vs. price of 円2,631.00 (8.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2918 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Business Description

Address 13-19 Tomihisacho, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 162-8020
Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co Ltd is a Japan-based company engaged in manufacturing and sale of ready-made food products. It produces ready-to-eat meals for convenience stores which includes bento meal boxes, onigiri rice balls, and side dishes. The food products offered by the group are bento meal boxes, onigiri rice balls and sushi, chilled bento meal boxes, bread products, side dishes and noodles, and chilled Japanese sweets. The organization has business operations in Japan and in international countries. The segments of the company are Food Products Business, Food Ingredients Business, and Logistics Business. The Food Products business segment includes manufacturing and sales of cooked food and Logistics business segment relates to food delivery.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2918

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,631.00
Price
円2,872.80
GF Value