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Goldcrest Co (TSE:8871) Beneish M-Score : -2.23 (As of Apr. 07, 2025)


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What is Goldcrest Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.23 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Goldcrest Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8871' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.07   Med: -2.47   Max: -1.41
Current: -2.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Goldcrest Co was -1.41. The lowest was -3.07. And the median was -2.47.


Goldcrest Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Goldcrest Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Goldcrest Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Goldcrest Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.89 -2.61 -1.41 -2.23

Goldcrest Co Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.23 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Goldcrest Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Goldcrest Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Goldcrest Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Goldcrest Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Goldcrest Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Goldcrest Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Goldcrest Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3472+0.528 * 1.2293+0.404 * 0.896+0.892 * 0.905+0.115 * 1.1395
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.00657-0.327 * 1.1621
=-2.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円684 Mil.
Revenue was 円24,845 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円11,811 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円170,708 Mil.
Total Assets was 円203,808 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円30,453 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,058 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円42,392 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円23,200 Mil.
Net Income was 円3,753 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円5,092 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円561 Mil.
Revenue was 円27,453 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円16,043 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円157,459 Mil.
Total Assets was 円189,235 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円29,033 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,155 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円14,107 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円38,300 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(684 / 24845) / (561 / 27453)
=0.027531 / 0.020435
=1.3472

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(16043 / 27453) / (11811 / 24845)
=0.584381 / 0.475387
=1.2293

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (170708 + 30453) / 203808) / (1 - (157459 + 29033) / 189235)
=0.012988 / 0.014495
=0.896

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=24845 / 27453
=0.905

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1155 / (1155 + 29033)) / (1058 / (1058 + 30453))
=0.03826 / 0.033576
=1.1395

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 24845) / (0 / 27453)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((23200 + 42392) / 203808) / ((38300 + 14107) / 189235)
=0.321832 / 0.276941
=1.1621

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3753 - 0 - 5092) / 203808
=-0.00657

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Goldcrest Co has a M-score of -2.23 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Goldcrest Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Goldcrest Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2-1-1 Otemachi Chiyoda-ku, 12th floor, Otemachi Nomura Building, Tokyo, JPN, 100-0004
Goldcrest Co Ltd is a property development company. It is engaged in the development and sale of condominiums in and around the Tokyo Metropolitan Area. The Company operates in three business segments such as Real Estate Sales, Real Estate Leasing, and Others. The Real Estate Sales segment deals with the development and marketing of condominiums such as Crest City, Crest Form series and Crest Residence. The Real Estate Leasing segment involves with office building and apartment leasing activities. The others segment offers real estate management services.

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