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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Twilio's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Twilio was -0.61. The lowest was -2.81. And the median was -2.38.
The historical data trend for Twilio's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Twilio Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | Dec24 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-2.00 | -2.48 | -2.38 | -2.78 | -2.81 |
Twilio Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | Dec24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-2.78 | -2.99 | -3.01 | -2.95 | -2.81 |
For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Twilio's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Software industry and Technology sector, Twilio's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Twilio's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Twilio for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9745 | + | 0.528 * 0.9628 | + | 0.404 * 1.1341 | + | 0.892 * 1.0732 | + | 0.115 * 0.9939 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.8319 | + | 4.679 * -0.078807 | - | 0.327 * 1.2078 | |||||||
= | -2.81 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec24) TTM: | Last Year (Dec23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $589 Mil. Revenue was 1194.835 + 1133.649 + 1082.502 + 1047.05 = $4,458 Mil. Gross Profit was 599.697 + 578.629 + 555.845 + 544.041 = $2,278 Mil. Total Current Assets was $3,447 Mil. Total Assets was $9,865 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $126 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $206 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,263 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $820 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,076 Mil. Net Income was -12.47 + -9.726 + -31.858 + -55.349 = $-109 Mil. Non Operating Income was -27.228 + -2.451 + -6.896 + -11.603 = $-48 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 108.446 + 204.329 + 213.343 + 190.123 = $716 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $563 Mil. Revenue was 1075.95 + 1033.67 + 1037.761 + 1006.564 = $4,154 Mil. Gross Profit was 531.166 + 516.319 + 505.755 + 490.69 = $2,044 Mil. Total Current Assets was $4,904 Mil. Total Assets was $11,610 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $177 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $284 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,414 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $738 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,110 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (588.54 / 4458.036) | / | (562.773 / 4153.945) | |
= | 0.132018 | / | 0.135479 | |
= | 0.9745 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (2043.93 / 4153.945) | / | (2278.212 / 4458.036) | |
= | 0.492046 | / | 0.511035 | |
= | 0.9628 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (3447.299 + 126.039) / 9865.472) | / | (1 - (4903.972 + 176.861) / 11609.707) | |
= | 0.637794 | / | 0.562363 | |
= | 1.1341 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 4458.036 | / | 4153.945 | |
= | 1.0732 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (284.413 / (284.413 + 176.861)) | / | (205.984 / (205.984 + 126.039)) | |
= | 0.616581 | / | 0.620391 | |
= | 0.9939 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (1262.644 / 4458.036) | / | (1414.316 / 4153.945) | |
= | 0.283229 | / | 0.340475 | |
= | 0.8319 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((1076.462 + 820.22) / 9865.472) | / | ((1109.723 + 738.297) / 11609.707) | |
= | 0.192255 | / | 0.159179 | |
= | 1.2078 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (-109.403 - -48.178 | - | 716.241) | / | 9865.472 | |
= | -0.078807 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Twilio has a M-score of -2.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Twilio's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Aidan Viggiano | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 101 SPEAR STREET, FIFTH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105 |
Khozema Shipchandler | officer: Chief Financial Officer | C/O PIVOTAL SOFTWARE, INC., 875 HOWARD STREET, FIFTH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103 |
Dana Wagner | officer: Chief Legal Officer, Secretary | C/O TWILIO INC., 101 SPEAR STREET, FIRST FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105 |
Elena A. Donio | director | C/O CONCUR TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 18400 NE UNION HILL RD., REDMOND WA 98052 |
Charles H Bell | director | 101 SPEAR STREET, FIFTH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105 |
Donna Dubinsky | director | C/O TWILIO INC., 375 BEALE STREET, SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105 |
Jeff Lawson | director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer | 645 HARRISON STREET, THIRD FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107 |
Eyal Manor | officer: Chief Product Officer | C/O TWILIO INC., 101 SPEAR STREET, FIRST FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105 |
Miyuki Suzuki | director | C/O WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION, 5601 GREAT OAKS PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95119 |
Marc Boroditsky | officer: Chief Revenue Officer | 121 W. WACKER DR., SUITE 2050, CHICAGO IL 60614 |
Richard L Dalzell | director | PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226 |
Karyn Smith | officer: General Counsel and Secretary | TWILIO INC, 645 HARRISON STREET THIRD FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107 |
Jeffrey R Immelt | director | GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY, 41 FARNSWORTH STREET, BOSTON MA 02210 |
George Hu | officer: Chief Operating Officer | C/O YELP INC., 350 MISSION STREET, 10TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105 |
Erika Rottenberg | director | 2029 STIERLIN COURT, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043 |
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