Carvana Co (XSWX:CVNA) Beneish M-Score: -0.05 (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


XSWX:CVNA Carvana Co XSWX:CVNA
73 GF Score
Price CHF52.50
GF Value CHF63.63
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Carvana Co Beneish M-Score?

Carvana Co XSWX:CVNA -3.90% 73 Beneish M-Score is -0.05 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:CVNA with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF63.63. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,274 Vehicles & Parts companies, Carvana Co ranks worse than 96.86% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.05 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:CVNA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.37   Med: -0.82   Max: 2.76
Current: -0.05

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Carvana Co was 2.76. The lowest was -3.37. And the median was -0.82.


Carvana Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Carvana Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Carvana Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.72 -1.59 -3.32 -2.74 0.44

Carvana Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -2.45 -2.28 0.44 -0.05

XSWX:CVNA vs PAG, ALTB, LAD: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carvana Co Beneish M-Score vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XSWX:CVNA
73GF Score
Carvana Co XSWX:CVNA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Carvana Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Carvana Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6004+0.528 * 1.0747+0.404 * 3.7705+0.892 * 1.3767+0.115 * 1.0901
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8311+4.679 * 0.217506-0.327 * 0.6429
=-0.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was CHF272 Mil.
Revenue was 5063.914 + 4465.031 + 4495.577 + 3935.888 = CHF17,960 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1000.658 + 837.542 + 913.923 + 865.245 = CHF3,617 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF5,666 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF10,842 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF2,560 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF216 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF1,965 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF1,386 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF4,124 Mil.
Net Income was 196.825 + 682.943 + 120.211 + 148.816 = CHF1,149 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -32.279 + -1719.71 + -133.745 + -48.792 = CHF-1,935 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 84.241 + 342.667 + 274.654 + 23.583 = CHF725 Mil.
Total Receivables was CHF330 Mil.
Revenue was 3739.395 + 3162.505 + 3096.516 + 3047.858 = CHF13,046 Mil.
Gross Profit was 820.864 + 680.291 + 683.69 + 639.067 = CHF2,824 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF4,539 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF7,845 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF2,804 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF260 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF1,717 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF1,190 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF5,011 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(272.406 / 17960.41) / (329.583 / 13046.274)
=0.015167 / 0.025263
=0.6004

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2823.912 / 13046.274) / (3617.368 / 17960.41)
=0.216454 / 0.201408
=1.0747

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5666.198 + 2560.3) / 10841.908) / (1 - (4539.053 + 2803.663) / 7844.601)
=0.241232 / 0.063978
=3.7705

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=17960.41 / 13046.274
=1.3767

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(260.256 / (260.256 + 2803.663)) / (216.354 / (216.354 + 2560.3))
=0.084942 / 0.077919
=1.0901

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1964.645 / 17960.41) / (1717.192 / 13046.274)
=0.109388 / 0.131623
=0.8311

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4123.877 + 1386.435) / 10841.908) / ((5010.896 + 1190.209) / 7844.601)
=0.508242 / 0.790493
=0.6429

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1148.795 - -1934.526 - 725.145) / 10841.908
=0.217506

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Carvana Co has a M-score of -0.18 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -0.05 mean?
Carvana Co (XSWX:CVNA) has a Beneish M-Score of -0.05 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Carvana Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Carvana Co ranks #1234 out of 1274 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 96.9%.
Is Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Carvana Co's current Beneish M-Score is -0.05. Based on the distribution chart, Carvana Co ranks #1234 out of 1274 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Carvana Co has a GF Score™ of 73/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score compare to PAG and ALTB?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Carvana Co ranks #1234 out of 1274 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Carvana Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Carvana Co and its competitors. Carvana Co's current Beneish M-Score is -0.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Carvana Co stock overvalued right now?
Carvana Co (XSWX:CVNA) has a current Beneish M-Score of -0.05. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF63.63, compared to a current price of CHF52.50 — trading 17.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -0.05. Carvana Co's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Carvana Co (XSWX:CVNA), the current Beneish M-Score is -0.05 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Carvana Co (XSWX:CVNA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carvana Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CHF52.50 is trading 17.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of CHF63.63.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:CVNA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -0.05
  • GF Value™: CHF63.63 vs. price of CHF52.50 (17.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:CVNA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Carvana Co Business Description

Address 300 E. Rio Salado Parkway, Tempe, AZ, USA, 85281
Carvana Co is an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. The company derives revenue from used vehicle sales, wholesale vehicle sales and other sales and revenues. The other sales and revenues include sales of loans originated and sold in securitization transactions or to financing partners, commissions received on VSCs and sales of GAP waiver coverage. The foundation of the business is retail vehicle unit sales. This drives the majority of the revenue and allows the company to capture additional revenue streams associated with financing, VSCs, auto insurance and GAP waiver coverage, as well as trade-in vehicles.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:CVNA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF52.50
Price
CHF63.63
GF Value