Booking Holdings (XTER:PCE1) Beneish M-Score: -2.79 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


XTER:PCE1 Booking Holdings Inc XTER:PCE1
84 GF Score
Price €157.10
GF Value €198.57
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Booking Holdings XTER:PCE1 -2.66% 84 Beneish M-Score is -2.79 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates XTER:PCE1 with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of €198.57 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, Booking Holdings ranks better than 65.41% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:PCE1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.48   Med: -2.69   Max: -0.79
Current: -2.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Booking Holdings was -0.79. The lowest was -3.48. And the median was -2.69.


Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Booking Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.53 -2.53 -2.80 -2.95 -2.71

Booking Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.00 -2.89 -2.75 -2.71 -2.79

XTER:PCE1 vs ABNB, RCL, VIK: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XTER:PCE1
84GF Score
Booking Holdings Inc XTER:PCE1
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Booking Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9374+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9079+0.892 * 1.0674+0.115 * 1.0062
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9667+4.679 * -0.069077-0.327 * 1.0874
=-2.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €3,045 Mil.
Revenue was 4785.18 + 5422.046 + 7674.816 + 5893.866 = €23,776 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4785.18 + 5422.046 + 7674.816 + 5893.866 = €23,776 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €18,108 Mil.
Total Assets was €23,978 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,203 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €642 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €14,135 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €17,137 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €13,778 Mil.
Net Income was 936.795 + 1219.512 + 2341.296 + 775.965 = €5,274 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 167.81 + -99.064 + -356.136 + -834.054 = €-1,121 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2780.975 + 1272.46 + 1222.62 + 2775.267 = €8,051 Mil.
Total Receivables was €3,043 Mil.
Revenue was 4404.85 + 5224.805 + 7202.594 + 5443.011 = €22,275 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4404.85 + 5224.805 + 7202.594 + 5443.011 = €22,275 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €18,454 Mil.
Total Assets was €25,152 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,306 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €703 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €13,700 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €15,164 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €14,657 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3044.8 / 23775.908) / (3043.25 / 22275.26)
=0.128062 / 0.13662
=0.9374

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(22275.26 / 22275.26) / (23775.908 / 23775.908)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18107.91 + 1203.215) / 23977.8) / (1 - (18453.75 + 1306.1) / 25151.675)
=0.194625 / 0.214372
=0.9079

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=23775.908 / 22275.26
=1.0674

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(703.404 / (703.404 + 1306.1)) / (641.855 / (641.855 + 1203.215))
=0.350039 / 0.347876
=1.0062

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14135.422 / 23775.908) / (13699.698 / 22275.26)
=0.594527 / 0.615019
=0.9667

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13777.72 + 17136.515) / 23977.8) / ((14656.625 + 15164.45) / 25151.675)
=1.289286 / 1.18565
=1.0874

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5273.568 - -1121.444 - 8051.322) / 23977.8
=-0.069077

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Booking Holdings has a M-score of -2.86 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.79 mean?
Booking Holdings (XTER:PCE1) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.79 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Booking Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Booking Holdings ranks #285 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 34.6%.
Is Booking Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Booking Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.79. Based on the distribution chart, Booking Holdings ranks #285 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Booking Holdings has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Booking Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to ABNB and RCL?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Booking Holdings ranks #285 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Booking Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Booking Holdings and its competitors. Booking Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.79. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Booking Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Booking Holdings (XTER:PCE1) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €198.57, compared to a current price of €157.10 — trading 20.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.79. Booking Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Booking Holdings (XTER:PCE1), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.79 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Booking Holdings (XTER:PCE1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Booking Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €157.10 is trading 20.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of €198.57. GuruFocus considers Booking Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XTER:PCE1:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.79
  • GF Value™: €198.57 vs. price of €157.10 (20.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XTER:PCE1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Booking Holdings Business Description

Address 800 Connecticut Avenue, Norwalk, CT, USA, 06854
Booking is the world's largest online travel agency by sales, offering booking and payment services for hotel and alternative accommodation rooms, airlines, rental cars, restaurants, cruises, experiences, and other vacation packages. The company operates several branded travel booking sites, including Booking.com, Agoda, OpenTable, Rentalcars.com, and Kayak. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of revenue and profits.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XTER:PCE1

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€157.10
Price
€198.57
GF Value