NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage) Peter Lynch Fair Value: $25.26 (As of Jul. 03, 2026) — 1273% Above Median


NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc NGVC
86 GF Score
Price $32.60
GF Value $27.31
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage NGVC +2.29% 86 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $25.26 as of Jul. 03, 2026, which is 1273% above its 10-year median of 1.84. GuruFocus rates NGVC with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of $27.31 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 116 Retail - Defensive companies, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage ranks worse than 55.17% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's PEG is 1. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 11.91. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $2.12. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $25.26.

As of today (2026-07-03), Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's share price is $32.60. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch fair value is $25.26. Therefore, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.29.


The historical rank and industry rank for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

NGVC' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 1.84   Max: 4.06
Current: 1.29


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage was 4.06. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 1.84.


NGVC's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
55.17% of 116 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 1.19 vs NGVC: 1.29

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage  (NYSE:NGVC) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 11.91 instead of 15 in this case.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=32.60/25.26
=1.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.02 8.81 5.92 9.46 18.24

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.12 14.66 18.24 21.80 25.26

NGVC vs YSWY, VLGEA, DNUT: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


NGVC
86GF Score
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc NGVC
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 11.91 *2.121
=25.26

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $2.12.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $25.26 mean?
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $25.26 as of Jul. 03, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage and its competitors. This is 1273% above median its historical median of 1.84. Over the past decade, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.63 to 4.06. According to the industry distribution chart, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage ranks #64 out of 116 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 55.2%.
Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $25.26 is 1273% above median its 10-year median of 1.84. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.63 to a high of 4.06. The Retail - Defensive industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.19. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's value of $25.26 is 2022.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage ranks #64 out of 116 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to YSWY and VLGEA?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage ranks #64 out of 116 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.19. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's value of $25.26 is 2022.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.63 to 4.06 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.84 vs. the industry median of 1.19, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Retail - Defensive companies is 1.19, based on 116 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $25.26 is 2022.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.19 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $25.26, which is 1273% above median its own 10-year median of 1.84. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $27.31, compared to a current price of $32.60 — trading 19.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $25.26, which is 1273% above median its 10-year median of 1.84 and 2022.7% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 1.19. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $25.26 as of Jul. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $32.60 is trading 19.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $27.31. GuruFocus considers Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NGVC:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: $25.26 (1273% above median its 10-year median of 1.84)
  • GF Value™: $27.31 vs. price of $32.60 (19.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 2022.7% above the Retail - Defensive median (#64 of 116)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGVC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Business Description

Other Exchanges N2V:Germany
Address 12612 West Alameda Parkway, Lakewood, CO, USA, 80228
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc operates natural and organic grocery and dietary supplement stores. It offers the following product categories: natural and organic food, dietary supplements, natural body care, household, pet care products, books, and handouts. The Company has a single reporting segment, natural and organic retail stores, through which business is conducted. The company generates the majority of its revenue from grocery products and dietary supplements, and the rest from other products.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGVC

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$32.60
Price
$27.31
GF Value