Kirin Holdings Co (TSE:2503) Peter Lynch Fair Value: 円1,479.64 (As of Aug. 09, 2026) — 122184% Above Median

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TSE:2503 Kirin Holdings Co Ltd TSE:2503
72 GF Score
Price 円3,038.00
GF Value 円1,971.96
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Kirin Holdings Co Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Kirin Holdings Co TSE:2503 +3.79% 72 Peter Lynch Fair Value is 円1,479.64 as of Aug. 09, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.21. GuruFocus rates TSE:2503 with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,971.96 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 54 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Kirin Holdings Co ranks worse than 1851850% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Kirin Holdings Co's PEG is 1. Kirin Holdings Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 9.84. Kirin Holdings Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2026 was 円150.37. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is 円1,479.64.

As of today (2026-08-09), Kirin Holdings Co's share price is 円3038.00. Kirin Holdings Co's Peter Lynch fair value is 円1,479.64. Therefore, Kirin Holdings Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 2.05.


The historical rank and industry rank for Kirin Holdings Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2503' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.56   Med: 1.21   Max: 5.98
Current: 2.05


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Kirin Holdings Co was 5.98. The lowest was 0.56. And the median was 1.21.


TSE:2503's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is not ranked
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry.
Industry Median: 1.445 vs TSE:2503: 2.05

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Kirin Holdings Co  (TSE:2503) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 9.84 instead of 15 in this case.

Kirin Holdings Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=3038.00/1,479.64
=2.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kirin Holdings Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Kirin Holdings Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kirin Holdings Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kirin Holdings Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Kirin Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 769.50 2,586.25

Kirin Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 626.37 1,742.21 2,586.25 2,412.02 1,479.64

TSE:2503 vs STZ, TAP: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Kirin Holdings Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kirin Holdings Co Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Kirin Holdings Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kirin Holdings Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


TSE:2503
72GF Score
Kirin Holdings Co Ltd TSE:2503
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kirin Holdings Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Kirin Holdings Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 9.84 *150.37
=1,479.64

Kirin Holdings Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was 円150.37.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of 円1,479.64 mean?
Kirin Holdings Co (TSE:2503) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of 円1,479.64 as of Aug. 09, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Kirin Holdings Co and its competitors. This is 122184% above median its historical median of 1.21. Over the past decade, Kirin Holdings Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.56 to 5.98. According to the industry distribution chart, Kirin Holdings Co ranks #999999 out of 54 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry.
Is Kirin Holdings Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Kirin Holdings Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of 円1,479.64 is 122184% above median its 10-year median of 1.21. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.56 to a high of 5.98. Based on the distribution chart, Kirin Holdings Co ranks #999999 out of 54 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Kirin Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kirin Holdings Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to STZ and TAP?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Kirin Holdings Co ranks #999999 out of 54 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Kirin Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.45. Historically, Kirin Holdings Co's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.56 to 5.98 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 1.45, based on 54 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Kirin Holdings Co and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Kirin Holdings Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is 円1,479.64, which is 122184% above median its own 10-year median of 1.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kirin Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kirin Holdings Co (TSE:2503) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,971.96, compared to a current price of 円3,038.00 — trading 54.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is 円1,479.64, which is 122184% above median its 10-year median of 1.21. Kirin Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kirin Holdings Co (TSE:2503), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is 円1,479.64 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kirin Holdings Co (TSE:2503) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kirin Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円3,038.00 is trading 54.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,971.96. GuruFocus considers Kirin Holdings Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2503:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: 円1,479.64 (122184% above median its 10-year median of 1.21)
  • GF Value™: 円1,971.96 vs. price of 円3,038.00 (54.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2503 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kirin Holdings Co Business Description

Address 10-2 Nakano 4-chome, Nakano Central Park South, Nakano-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 164-0001
Kirin is the second-largest brewer in Japan with a 28% market share. It holds a top share in the happoshu (low-malt beer) and new genre (no-malt beer) categories. Apart from beer, it also operates a wide range of alcoholic and soft beverage products in Japan. It has made several acquisitions, including Lion Nathan and National Foods in Australia, the second-largest Brazilian brewer Schincariol and Myanmar's biggest brewer over the past decade. It sold the businesses in Brazil and Myanmar in 2017 and 2023, respectively. In 2023, the company made a tender offer to bring Fancl on as a wholly owned subsidiary. Its revenue accounts for roughly 5% of Kirin's total sales. Its overseas business, which includes alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, represents about 40% of the group's revenue.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2503

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,038.00
Price
円1,971.96
GF Value