GBRGU (Goldenbridge Acquisition) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Goldenbridge Acquisition Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Goldenbridge Acquisition Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Goldenbridge Acquisition Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Goldenbridge Acquisition's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Goldenbridge Acquisition Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Goldenbridge Acquisition Ltd (NAS:GBRGU) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

171-172 Gloucester Road, 15th Floor, Aubin House, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG

Website

Goldenbridge Acquisition Ltd is a blank check company.

Executives

Jeffrey A Altman	10 percent owner	640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.p.	10 percent owner	640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jining Li	director	FLAT A, 6/F, BLOCK A, TONNOCHY TOWERS, NO.272 JAFFE RD, WANCHAI, HONG KONG F4 00000
Yanhong Xue	officer: Chief Financial Officer	ROOM 801, PLAZA B, YONGHE BUILDING,, NO.28 ANDINGMEN EAST STREET, DONGCHENG D, BEIJING F4 100007
Kinpui Choi	director	FLAT A, 6/F, BLOCK A, TONNOCHY TOWERS, NO. 272 JAFFE ROAD, WANCHAI, HONG KONG F4 00000
Yongsheng Liu	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	FLAT A, 6/F, BLOCK A, TONNOCHY TOWERS, N0. 272 JAFFE ROAD, WANCHAI, HONG KONG F4 00000
Ray Lei Chen	officer: Chief Operating Officer	FLAT A, 6/F, BLOCK A, TONNOCHY TOWERS, NO.272 JAFFE ROAD, WANCHAI, HONG KONG F4 00000
Claude P. Franco	director	C/O GOLDENBRIDGE ACQUISITION LIMITED, 15/F, AUBIN HOUSE, 171-172 GLOUCESTER RD, WANCHAI K3 00000
Michael E. Chen	director	75 PASTURES LANE, NEW CANAAN CT 06840