INAB (IN8bio) Predictability Rank

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What is IN8bio Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

IN8bio Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

IN8bio Predictability Rank Related Terms

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IN8bio Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » IN8bio Inc (NAS:INAB) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

350 5th Avenue, Suite 5330, New York, NY, USA, 10118

Website

https://www.in8bio.com

IN8bio Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of gamma-delta T cell product candidates for solid and liquid tumors, by employing allogeneic, autologous, and genetically modified gamma-delta T cells. Its product candidates include INB-400, for the treatment of newly diagnosed glioblastoma, or GBM, INB-100 for the treatment of patients with high-risk leukemias undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, and other product candidates such as INB-200, INB-300, and INB-500.

Executives

Jeremy R. Graff	director	C/O IN8BIO, INC., 350 5TH AVENUE, SUITE 5330, NEW YORK NY 10118
Patrick Mccall	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O IN8BIO, INC., 79 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
William Tai-wei Ho	director, officer: President, CEO and CFO	C/O IN8BIO, INC., 79 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Bios Fund Ii, Lp	director, 10 percent owner	1401 FOCH STREET, SUITE 140, FORT WORTH TX 76107
Leslie W. Kreis	director, 10 percent owner	1751 RIVER RUN, SUITE 400, FORT WORTH TX 76107
Bios Fund Iii Nt, Lp	director, 10 percent owner	1751 RIVER RUN, SUITE 400, FORT WORTH TX 76107
Bios Fund Iii, Lp	director, 10 percent owner	1751 RIVER RUN, SUITE 400, FORT WORTH TX 76107
Bios Fund Ii Nt, Lp	director, 10 percent owner	1401 FOCH STREET, SUITE 140, FORT WORTH TX 76107
Bios Fund Ii Qp, Lp	director, 10 percent owner	1401 FOCH STREET, SUITE 140, FORT WORTH TX 76107
Fletcher Aaron G.l.	director, 10 percent owner	40 GUEST STREET, BOSTON MA 02135
Transcend Partners Opportunity Fund Llc	10 percent owner	10 ORINDA VIEW ROAD, ORINDA CA 94563
Lawrence Lamb	officer: EVP and CSO	C/O IN8BIO, INC., 79 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Bios Incysus Co-invest I, Lp	director, 10 percent owner	1401 FOCH STREET, SUITE 140, FORT WORTH TX 76107
Trishna Goswami	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O IN8BIO, INC., 350 5TH AVENUE, SUITE 5330, NEW YORK NY 10118
Kate Rochlin	officer: Chief Operating Officer	IN8BIO, INC., EMPIRE STATE BUILDING, SUITE 5330, NEW YORK NY 10118