JAMF (Jamf Holding) Predictability Rank

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What is Jamf Holding Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Jamf Holding Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Jamf Holding Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Jamf Holding Corp (NAS:JAMF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

JA4:Germany

Address

100 Washington Avenue S, Suite 900, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55401

Website

https://www.jamf.com

Jamf Holding Corp is the standard in Apple Enterprise Management, and its cloud software platform is the vertically focused Apple infrastructure and security platform. The company helps organizations, including businesses, hospitals, schools, and government agencies, connect, manage, and protect Apple products, apps, and corporate resources in the cloud without ever having to touch the devices. It sells its Software-as-a-Service, or SaaS, solutions via a subscription model, through a direct sales force, online, and indirectly via its channel partners, including Apple. The company operates in The Americas; Europe, the Middle East, India, and Africa; and Asia Pacific.

Executives

Elizabeth Benz	officer: CHIEF SALES OFFICER	C/O JAMF HOLDING CORP., 100 WASHINGTON AVE S SUITE 1100, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Michelle Bucaria	officer: CPO	C/O TELADOC, INC., 2 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 203, PURCHASE NY 10577
Linh Lam	officer: CIO	C/O JAMF HOLDING CORP., 100 WASHINGTON AVE, S. SUITE 1100, MINNEAPOLIC MN 55401
John Strosahl	officer: Chief Operating Officer	100 WASHINGTON AVENUE S., SUITE 100, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Jason Wudi	officer: Chief Technology Officer	100 WASHINGTON AVENUE S., SUITE 100, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Beth Tschida	officer: CTO	C/O JAMF HOLDING CORP., 100 WASHINGTON AVE S SUITE 1100, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Jeff Lendino	officer: General Counsel	100 WASHINGTON AVENUE S., SUITE 100, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Dean Hager	director, officer: Chief Exec Officer, Director	C/O JAMF HOLDING CORP., 100 WASHINGTON AVE. S. SUITE 1100, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Virginia Gambale	director	C/O JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORP., 27-01 QUEENS PLAZA NORTH, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Ian Goodkind	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	100 WASHINGTON AVENUE S., SUITE 100, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Etalvina Leite	director	5477 VIA NICOLA, NEWBURY PARK CA 91320
Vista Equity Partners Fund Vi, L.p.	10 percent owner	4 EMBARCADERO CENTER, 20TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Vepf Vi Co Invest 1 Gp, L.p.	10 percent owner	4 EMBARCADERO CENTER, 20TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Kevin Klausmeyer	director	2101 CITYWEST BLVD, HOUSTON TX 77042-2827
Jill Putman	officer: Chief Financial Officer	100 WASHINGTON AVENUE S., SUITE 100, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401