MDH (MDH Acquisition) Predictability Rank

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What is MDH Acquisition Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

MDH Acquisition Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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MDH Acquisition Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » MDH Acquisition Corp (NYSE:MDH) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

600 N. Carroll Avenue, Suite 100, Southlake, TX, USA, 76092

Website

https://www.mclartydiversified.com

MDH Acquisition Corp is a blank check company. It is formed for the purpose of effectuating a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization or other similar business.

Executives

Franklin Mclarty	director, 10 percent owner	297 WEST HENRI DE TONTI, TONTITOWN AR 72770
Brent Whittington	officer: Chief Financial Officer	4001 RODNEY PARHAM ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72212
Timothy M. Russi	director	200 RENAISSANCE CENTER, MC 482-B09-C24, DETROIT MI 48265-2000
Michael E Maroone	director	909 POINCIANA DRIVE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Yavor Efremov	director	1 ALLIED DRIVE, SUITE 1705, LITTLE ROCK TX 72202
Blair Donald Dupree Jr.	10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1 ALLIED DRIVE, SUITE 1705, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Darrin Williams	director	1 ALLIED DRIVE, SUITE 1705, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Mdih Sponsor Llc	10 percent owner	1 ALLIED DRIVE, SUITE 1705, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Chad Estis	director	1 ALLIED DRIVE, SUITE 1705, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Jim Wilkinson	director	1 ALLIED DRIVE, SUITE 1705, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Mclarty Diversified Intermediate Holdings Llc	10 percent owner	1 ALLIED DRIVE, SUITE 1705, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202