PLTK (Playtika Holding) Predictability Rank

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What is Playtika Holding Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Playtika Holding Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Playtika Holding Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Playtika Holding Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » Playtika Holding Corp (NAS:PLTK) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

8II:Germany

Address

C/o Playtika Ltd, HaChoshlim Street 8, Herzliya Pituarch, ISR

Website

https://www.playtika.com

Playtika Holding Corp is engaged in developing mobile games. Some of its games include Board Kings, House of Fun, Poker Heat, Slotomania, and Bingo Blitz. The company has built live game operations services and a proprietary technology platform to support its portfolio of games. It derives revenue from the sale of virtual items associated with online games. Geographically, the group has a business presence in the USA, EMEA, APAC, and Other regions of which key revenue is derived from the USA. It offers both Mobile and Web-based platforms.

Executives

Playtika Holding Uk Ii Ltd	10 percent owner	C/O GIANT INTERACTIVE GROUP INC., 988 ZHONGKAI ROAD, SONGJIANG DISTRICT, SHANGHAI F4 200160
Gili Brudno	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	C/O PLAYTIKA LTD., HACHOSHLIM ST 8, HERZLIYA PITUACH L3 4672408
On Chau	10 percent owner	ROOM 2506, PACIFIC PLACE APARTMENTS, PACIFIC PLACE, 88 QUEENSWAY, CENTRAL, HONG KONG K3 00000
Sino Infinity Investments Ltd	10 percent owner	SUITE 402, NAN FUNG TOWER, 88 CONNAUGHT ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG K3 00000
Fortune Bliss Ventures Ltd	10 percent owner	SUITE 402, NAN FUNG TOWER, 88 CONNAUGHT ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG K3 00000
Hwa Por Chua	10 percent owner	SUITE 402, NAN FUNG TOWER, 88 CONNAUGHT ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG K3 00000
Dana Rebecca Gross	director	C/O PLAYTIKA LTD., HACHOSHLIM ST 8, HERZLIYA PITUARCH L3 4672408
Lu James Fu Bin	director	C/O PLAYTIKA LTD., HACHOSHLIM ST 8, HERZLIYA PITUARCH L3 4672408
Hong Du	director	C/O PLAYTIKA LTD., HACHOSHLIM ST 8, HERZLIYA PITUARCH L3 4672408
Eric Rapps	officer: Chief Strategy Officer	C/O PLAYTIKA LTD, HACHOSHLIM ST 8, HERZLIYA PITUARCH L3 4672408
Robert Antokol	director, officer: See Remarks	C/O PLAYTIKA LD., HACHOSHLIM ST 8, HERZLIYA PITUARCH L3 4672408
8th Wonder Corp	10 percent owner	SUITES 1901-2 & 14, 19TH FLOOR, TOWER 6, THE GATEWAY, HARBOUR CITY, KOWLOON, HONG KONG K3 00000
Hotlink Investment Ltd	10 percent owner	SUITES 1901-2 & 14, 19TH FLOOR, TOWER 6, THE GATEWAY, HARBOUR CITY, KOWLOON, HONG KONG K3 00000
Infinite Bandwidth Ltd	10 percent owner	SEA MEADOW HOUSE, P.O. BOX 116, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 00000
Trustworthy Group Ltd.	10 percent owner	SEA MEADOW HOUSE, P.O. BOX 116, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 00000