TLGA.U (TLG Acquisition One) Predictability Rank

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What is TLG Acquisition One Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

TLG Acquisition One Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

TLG Acquisition One Predictability Rank Related Terms

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TLG Acquisition One Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » TLG Acquisition One Corp (NYSE:TLGA.U) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

515 North Flagler Drive, Suite 520, West Palm Beach, FL, USA, 33401

Website

https://www.tlgacquisitions.com

TLG Acquisition One Corp is a blank check company.

Executives

Petrina Thomson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	625 N. FLAGLER DRIVE, SUITE 1003, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Jan Klube	officer: Chief Technology Officer	625 N. FLAGLER DRIVE, SUITE 1003, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Carol L Coughlin	director	C/O HAMILTON BANCORP, INC., 501 FAIRMOUNT AVENUE, SUITE 200, TOWSON MD 21286
Jennifer Elaine Lowry	director	2 HOLLINS AVE, BALTIMORE MD 21210
Neha Palmer	director	1021 MAIN ST., SUITE #1960, HOUSTON TX 77002
Gbif Management Ltd.	director, 10 percent owner	2345 YONGE STREET, SUITE 804, TORONTO A6 M4P 2E5
Hoof James Van Jr	officer: See Remarks	625 N. FLAGLER DRIVE SUITE 1003, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Gideon Soesman	director	625 N. FLAGLER DRIVE SUITE 1003, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Frank A Magnotti	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O COMVERGE, INC., 120 EAGLE ROCK AVENUE, SUITE 190, EAST HANOVER NJ 07936
Kristina A. Peterson	director	C/O BLINK CHARGING CO., 605 LINCOLN ROAD, 5TH FLOOR, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Zainabu Oke	director	8300 GOLF LINKS ROAD, OAKLAND CA 94605
Edward Ho	director	1775 TYSONS BOULEVARD, TYSONS VA 22102
Tlg Acquisition Founder Llc	10 percent owner	515 NORTH FLAGLER DRIVE, SUITE 520, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Kristin Muhlner	director	3877 FAIRFAX RIDGE ROAD, SOUTH TOWER, FAIRFAX VA 22030
David L Johnson	director, officer: Chief Financial Officer	ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682

TLG Acquisition One Headlines

From GuruFocus

Electriq Power to Offer Solar+Storage with Zero Up-Front Cost to All San Luis Obispo County Residents in Collaboration with the SLO Climate Coalition

By sperokesalga sperokesalga • 04-27-2023

TLG Acquisition One Corp. Announces Effectiveness of Registration Statement and July 25, 2023 Scheduled Special Meeting of Stockholders to Approve Business Combination with Electriq Power, Inc.

By Business Wire • 07-17-2023

Wealthspring Capital LLC Buys TLG Acquisition One Corp, ITHAX Acquisition Corp, Twelve Seas Investment Co II, Sells Sports Entertainment Acquisition Corp, Sustainable Opportunities Acquisition Corp, Fusion Acquisition Corp

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor • 05-19-2021

TLG Acquisition One Corp. Announces Updates to its Joint Proxy Statement/Consent Solicitation Statement/Prospectus in Connection with its Proposed Business Combination and its Proxy Statement in Connection with its Extension Meeting

By Business Wire • 07-14-2023

TLG Acquisition One Corp. Stockholders Approve Previously Announced Business Combination with Electriq Power, Inc. and TLG Announces Cancellation of Extension Meeting

By Business Wire • 07-25-2023

U.S. Home Solar Battery Storage Solutions Provider Electriq Power to Merge with TLG Acquisition One Corp.

By Business Wire Business Wire • 11-14-2022

Electriq Power Announces Nominees for New Public Company Board of Directors

By sperokesalga sperokesalga • 03-22-2023

TLG Acquisition One Corp. Announces Closing of Upsized $400 Million Initial Public Offering

By Business Wire Business Wire • 02-02-2021