GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » USA » NAS » Liberty Broadband Corp (NAS:LBRDK) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Switch to:

Liberty Broadband Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2014. Start your Free Trial
1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Liberty Broadband Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Liberty Broadband Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Liberty Broadband's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Liberty Broadband Business Description

Liberty Broadband logo
Address
12300 Liberty Boulevard, Englewood, CO, USA, 80112
Liberty Broadband Corp serves in the telecommunications industry in the United States. It provides cable services to both residential and small to medium businesses through its fiber, hybrid fiber, and coaxial cable infrastructure. The services provided by the company are residential services which include video services, internet services, voice services, and mobile services, commercial services which include small, and medium business and enterprise solutions, advertising services, and other services which include security and home management. The reportable segments of the company are GCI Holdings, Charter. The firm derives the majority of its revenue from GCI Holdings.
Executives
Hamilton Sue Ann director 12405 POWERSCOURT DRIVE ST. LOUIS MO 63131
Engles Gregg L director 1225 SEVENTEENTH STREET SUITE 1000 DENVER CO 80202
Frist Julie D. director 810 JACKSON BLVD. NASHVILLE TN 37205
Wilm Renee L officer: Chief Legal Officer 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Malone John C director, 10 percent owner 12300 LIBERTY BLVD ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Wendling Brian J officer: SVP/Controller/PFO 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Carleton Mark D officer: Chief Financial Officer 12300 LIBERTY BLVD. ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Wargo J David director C/O WARGO & CO 712 FIFTH AVENUE 41ST FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10019
Fisher Donne F director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Welsh John E Iii director AVALON CAPITAL PARTNERS 181 MAIN ST COLD SPRING HARBOR NY 11724
Green Richard R director 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Maffei Gregory B director, officer: President/CEO 12300 LIBERTY BLVD ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Liberty Media Corp 10 percent owner 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Rosenthaler Albert E officer: Senior Vice President 12300 LIBERTY BLVD ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Shean Christopher W officer: Senior Vice President/CFO 12300 LIBERTY BLVD. ENGLEWOOD CO 80116

Liberty Broadband Headlines

Other Sources

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)