Auto Hall (CAS:ATH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 5.39% (As of Dec. 2025) — 11% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CAS:ATH Auto Hall SA CAS:ATH
62 GF Score
Price MAD66.00
GF Value MAD90.92
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Auto Hall Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Auto Hall CAS:ATH +0.76% 62 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.39% as of Dec. 2025, which is 11% above its 10-year median of 4.87. GuruFocus rates CAS:ATH with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of MAD90.92 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 988 Vehicles & Parts companies, Auto Hall ranks worse than 57.39% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Auto Hall's forward rate of return for was 5.39%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Auto Hall's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CAS:ATH' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1393.57   Med: 4.87   Max: 12.4
Current: 7.22

During the past 13 years, Auto Hall's highest Forward Rate of Return was 12.40. The lowest was -1393.57. And the median was 4.87.

CAS:ATH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
57.39% of 988 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 10.355 vs CAS:ATH: 7.22

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Auto Hall  (CAS:ATH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Auto Hall Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Auto Hall Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Auto Hall's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Auto Hall Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Auto Hall Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.56 7.25 5.01 3.28 5.39

Auto Hall Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.01 0.00 3.28 0.00 5.39

CAS:ATH vs CVNA, PAG, KMX: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Auto Hall's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Auto Hall Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Auto Hall's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Auto Hall's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


CAS:ATH
62GF Score
Auto Hall SA CAS:ATH
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Auto Hall Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Auto Hall's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.85183333/93.9+0.0129
=5.39 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.39% mean?
Auto Hall (CAS:ATH) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.39% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Auto Hall and its competitors. This is 11% above median its historical median of 4.87. According to the industry distribution chart, Auto Hall ranks #567 out of 988 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 57.4%.
Is Auto Hall's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Auto Hall's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.39% is 11% above median its 10-year median of 4.87. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.36. Auto Hall's value of 5.39% is 47.9% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Auto Hall ranks #567 out of 988 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Auto Hall has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Auto Hall's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to CVNA and PAG?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Auto Hall ranks #567 out of 988 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Auto Hall in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.36. Auto Hall's value of 5.39% is 47.9% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 4.87 vs. the industry median of 10.36, Auto Hall has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Vehicles & Parts companies is 10.36, based on 988 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Auto Hall's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 5.39% is 47.9% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Auto Hall and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.36 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Auto Hall's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.39%, which is 11% above median its own 10-year median of 4.87. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Auto Hall stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Auto Hall (CAS:ATH) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MAD90.92, compared to a current price of MAD66.00 — trading 27.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.39%, which is 11% above median its 10-year median of 4.87 and 47.9% below the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 10.36. Auto Hall's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Auto Hall (CAS:ATH), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 5.39% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Auto Hall (CAS:ATH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Auto Hall stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MAD66.00 is trading 27.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of MAD90.92. GuruFocus considers Auto Hall to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for CAS:ATH:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 5.39% (11% above median its 10-year median of 4.87)
  • GF Value™: MAD90.92 vs. price of MAD66.00 (27.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 47.9% below the Vehicles & Parts median (#567 of 988)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CAS:ATH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Auto Hall Business Description

Address 64 Avenue Lalla Yacout, RC n 137, Casablanca, MAR, 20000
Auto Hall SA is engaged in the distribution of light vehicles and agricultural equipment. Its brands include Ford, Nissan, Fuso, Opel, Mitsubishi, Ford Trucks, DFSK, and Others.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CAS:ATH

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MAD66.00
Price
MAD90.92
GF Value