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CHVKY (China Vanke Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is China Vanke Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. China Vanke Co's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Vanke Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CHVKY' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.06   Med: 25.98   Max: 37.12
Current: -7.23

During the past 13 years, China Vanke Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 37.12. The lowest was -8.06. And the median was 25.98.

CHVKY's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
69.13% of 1283 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 5.53 vs CHVKY: -7.23

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


China Vanke Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Vanke Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Vanke Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

China Vanke Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.78 32.00 25.47 11.69 5.92

China Vanke Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.95 5.92 -6.57 -3.51 -

Competitive Comparison of China Vanke Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, China Vanke Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Vanke Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, China Vanke Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Vanke Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



China Vanke Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

China Vanke Co's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.10514286/0.4822+-0.2492
=-3.12 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Vanke Co  (OTCPK:CHVKY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


China Vanke Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of China Vanke Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


China Vanke Co Business Description

Industry
Address
Vanke Center, No. 33 Huanmei Road, Dameisha, Yantian District, Shenzhen, CHN, 518083
China Vanke is a large real estate developer in China with residential property sales among the top three of all peers through the past five years. While property development accounts for most of its revenue and earnings, it has expanded its business presence in investment properties such as commercial retail complexes, long-term leasing apartments, and leasable logistical assets. China Vanke also owns an over-60% equity interest in its property management division Onewo, which manages the second-largest gross floor area in China. It is dual-listed in Shenzhen and Hong Kong, and state-owned Shenzhen Metro is the largest shareholder with a 27.2% stake.

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