Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Airbus SEFRA:AIRA -1.94%89 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.33% as of Jun. 2026, which is 122% above its 10-year median of 4.20. GuruFocus rates FRA:AIRA with a GF Score™ of 89/100 and a GF Value™ of €45.72 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 203 Aerospace & Defense companies, Airbus SE ranks worse than 52.22% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Airbus SE's forward rate of return for was 9.33%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Airbus SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:AIRA'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -12.28 Med: 4.2 Max: 21.6
Current: 9.24
During the past 13 years, Airbus SE's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.60. The lowest was -12.28. And the median was 4.20.
FRA:AIRA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 52.22% of 203
companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 10.07
vs FRA:AIRA: 9.24
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Airbus SE (FRA:AIRA) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Airbus SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Airbus SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Airbus SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Airbus SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
FRA:AIRA vs SPCX, GE, RTX: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Airbus SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Airbus SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Aerospace & Defense Industry
For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Airbus SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Airbus SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Airbus SE Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Airbus SE's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
0.90285714
/
47.6
+
0.0746
=
9.36 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.33% mean?
Airbus SE (FRA:AIRA) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.33% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Airbus SE and its competitors. This is 122% above median its historical median of 4.20. According to the industry distribution chart, Airbus SE ranks #106 out of 203 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 52.2%.
Is Airbus SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Airbus SE's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.33% is 122% above median its 10-year median of 4.20. The Aerospace & Defense industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.07. Airbus SE's value of 9.33% is 7.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Airbus SE ranks #106 out of 203 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Airbus SE has a GF Score™ of 89/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Airbus SE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SPCX and GE?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Airbus SE ranks #106 out of 203 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Airbus SE in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.07. Airbus SE's value of 9.33% is 7.3% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 4.20 vs. the industry median of 10.07, Airbus SE has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Aerospace & Defense company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Aerospace & Defense companies is 10.07, based on 203 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Airbus SE's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.33% is 7.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Airbus SE and its competitors. For the Aerospace & Defense industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.07 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Airbus SE's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.33%, which is 122% above median its own 10-year median of 4.20. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Airbus SE stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Airbus SE (FRA:AIRA) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €45.72, compared to a current price of €50.50 — trading 10.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.33%, which is 122% above median its 10-year median of 4.20 and 7.3% below the Aerospace & Defense industry median of 10.07. Airbus SE's overall GF Score™ is 89/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Airbus SE (FRA:AIRA), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.33% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Airbus SE (FRA:AIRA) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Airbus SE stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of €50.50 is trading 10.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €45.72.
GuruFocus considers Airbus SE to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for FRA:AIRA:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 9.33% (122% above median its 10-year median of 4.20)
GF Value™: €45.72 vs. price of €50.50 (10.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 7.3% below the Aerospace & Defense median (#106 of 203)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:AIRA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Airbus is a global aerospace and defense firm that designs, develops, and manufactures commercial and military jets and helicopters, as well as space launch vehicles and satellites. The company operates three divisions: commercial, defense and space, and helicopters. Commercial offers multiple configurations of aircraft ranging from the narrow-body (120-200 seats) A220 and A320 series to the much larger A330 and A350 wide-body models. The defense and space segment supplies governments with military hardware, including transport aircraft, aerial tankers, and the Eurofighter Typhoon multirole jet. The helicopter division manufactures turbine helicopters for the civil and public markets.
89GF Score
Get the complete analysis for FRA:AIRA
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
FRA:AIRA has been successfully added to your 
