HSHCY (Haier Smart Home Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 17.65% (As of Jun. 2026) — 14% Above Median

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HSHCY Haier Smart Home Co Ltd HSHCY
76 GF Score
Price $11.00
GF Value $13.56
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Haier Smart Home Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Haier Smart Home Co HSHCY +1.76% 76 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.65% as of Jun. 2026, which is 14% above its 10-year median of 15.50. GuruFocus rates HSHCY with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $13.56 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 329 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances companies, Haier Smart Home Co ranks better than 75.38% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Haier Smart Home Co's forward rate of return for was 17.65%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Haier Smart Home Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

HSHCY' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.64   Med: 15.5   Max: 21.43
Current: 17.06

During the past 13 years, Haier Smart Home Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.43. The lowest was 3.64. And the median was 15.50.

HSHCY's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
75.38% of 329 companies
in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry
Industry Median: 6.02 vs HSHCY: 17.06

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Haier Smart Home Co  (OTCPK:HSHCY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Haier Smart Home Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Haier Smart Home Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Haier Smart Home Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Haier Smart Home Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Haier Smart Home Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.25 4.11 6.92 10.49 15.66

Haier Smart Home Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.53 15.85 15.66 16.36 17.65

HSHCY vs SN, SGI, MHK: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Haier Smart Home Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Haier Smart Home Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Haier Smart Home Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Haier Smart Home Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


HSHCY
76GF Score
Haier Smart Home Co Ltd HSHCY
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Haier Smart Home Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Haier Smart Home Co's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.95695238/10.19+0.0699
=16.38 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.65% mean?
Haier Smart Home Co (HSHCY) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.65% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Haier Smart Home Co and its competitors. This is 14% above median its historical median of 15.50. Over the past decade, Haier Smart Home Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 3.64 to 21.43. According to the industry distribution chart, Haier Smart Home Co ranks #81 out of 329 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, placing it in the top 24.6%.
Is Haier Smart Home Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Haier Smart Home Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.65% is 14% above median its 10-year median of 15.50. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.64 to a high of 21.43. The Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.02. Haier Smart Home Co's value of 17.65% is 193.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Haier Smart Home Co ranks #81 out of 329 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Haier Smart Home Co has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Haier Smart Home Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SN and SGI?
According to the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry distribution chart, Haier Smart Home Co ranks #81 out of 329 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Haier Smart Home Co in the top 25% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.02. Haier Smart Home Co's value of 17.65% is 193.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Haier Smart Home Co's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 3.64 to 21.43 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 15.50 vs. the industry median of 6.02, Haier Smart Home Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances companies is 6.02, based on 329 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Haier Smart Home Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.65% is 193.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Haier Smart Home Co and its competitors. For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.02 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Haier Smart Home Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.65%, which is 14% above median its own 10-year median of 15.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Haier Smart Home Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Haier Smart Home Co (HSHCY) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $13.56, compared to a current price of $11.00 — trading 18.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.65%, which is 14% above median its 10-year median of 15.50 and 193.2% above the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry median of 6.02. Haier Smart Home Co's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Haier Smart Home Co (HSHCY), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.65% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Haier Smart Home Co (HSHCY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Haier Smart Home Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $11.00 is trading 18.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $13.56. GuruFocus considers Haier Smart Home Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HSHCY:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 17.65% (14% above median its 10-year median of 15.50)
  • GF Value™: $13.56 vs. price of $11.00 (18.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 193.2% above the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median (#81 of 329)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HSHCY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Haier Smart Home Co Business Description

Address Haier Industrial Park, Shandong Province, Laoshan District, Qingdao, CHN, 266101
Haier Smart Home is one of the largest household appliance manufacturers globally, with key products spanning refrigerators, washing machines, kitchen appliances, air conditioners, and water solutions. It has been consistently among the top three in China by retail sales in most home appliance categories. The company has also established a footprint in distribution channel services and commercial refrigeration business. Haier generates around 50% of sales outside China. As of December 2025, Haier Group and its subsidiaries are the largest shareholders of Haier Smart Home with around 29% equity interest in aggregate.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HSHCY

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$11.00
Price
$13.56
GF Value