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Cosco CapitalPHS:COSCO +1.71%96 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 41.21% as of Mar. 2026, which is 13% above its 10-year median of 36.63. GuruFocus rates PHS:COSCO with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱6.85 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 222 Retail - Defensive companies, Cosco Capital ranks better than 95.95% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Cosco Capital's forward rate of return for was 41.21%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Cosco Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
PHS:COSCO'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.16 Med: 36.63 Max: 51.62
Current: 35.36
During the past 13 years, Cosco Capital's highest Forward Rate of Return was 51.62. The lowest was -0.16. And the median was 36.63.
PHS:COSCO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 95.95% of 222
companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 14
vs PHS:COSCO: 35.36
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Cosco Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Cosco Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Cosco Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Cosco Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
PHS:COSCO vs KR: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Cosco Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Cosco Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Retail - Defensive Industry
For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Cosco Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Cosco Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Cosco Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Cosco Capital's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
2.1447619
/
6.9
+
0.1013
=
41.21 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 41.21% mean?
Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 41.21% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Cosco Capital and its competitors. This is 13% above median its historical median of 36.63. According to the industry distribution chart, Cosco Capital ranks #9 out of 222 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 4.1%.
Is Cosco Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Cosco Capital's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 41.21% is 13% above median its 10-year median of 36.63. The Retail - Defensive industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.00. Cosco Capital's value of 41.21% is 194.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Cosco Capital ranks #9 out of 222 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Cosco Capital has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cosco Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to KR?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Cosco Capital ranks #9 out of 222 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Cosco Capital in the top 4% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.00. Cosco Capital's value of 41.21% is 194.4% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 36.63 vs. the industry median of 14.00, Cosco Capital has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Retail - Defensive companies is 14.00, based on 222 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Cosco Capital's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 41.21% is 194.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Cosco Capital and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Cosco Capital's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 41.21%, which is 13% above median its own 10-year median of 36.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cosco Capital stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱6.85, compared to a current price of ₱8.35 — trading 21.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 41.21%, which is 13% above median its 10-year median of 36.63 and 194.4% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 14.00. Cosco Capital's overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 41.21% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cosco Capital stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of ₱8.35 is trading 21.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₱6.85.
GuruFocus considers Cosco Capital to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for PHS:COSCO:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 41.21% (13% above median its 10-year median of 36.63)
GF Value™: ₱6.85 vs. price of ₱8.35 (21.9% above fair value)
Industry Position: 194.4% above the Retail - Defensive median (#9 of 222)
No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:COSCO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Cosco Capital Inc primary purpose from an oil and mineral exploration and development corporation into a holding company so that it may pursue other businesses as opportunity comes. The company's segment are: Grocery retail; Specialty retail Includes selling of office supplies both on wholesale and retail business; Liquor distribution Includes selling of purchased goods based on a distributorship channel; Real estate and property leasing Includes real estate activities; and Oil and mining Includes exploration, development and production of oil, gas, metallic and nonmetallic reserves . It derives maximum revenue from Grocery Retail segment which includes selling of purchased goods to a retail market.
96GF Score
Get the complete analysis for PHS:COSCO
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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