Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) Altman Z-Score: 2.55 (As of Jun. 25, 2026) — Near Median


PHS:COSCO Cosco Capital Inc PHS:COSCO
96 GF Score
Price ₱7.97
GF Value ₱6.78
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Cosco Capital Altman Z-Score?

Cosco Capital PHS:COSCO -0.38% 96 Altman Z-Score is 2.55 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 3% below its 10-year median of 2.64. GuruFocus rates PHS:COSCO with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱6.78 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 307 Retail - Defensive companies, Cosco Capital ranks worse than 70.03% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.55 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Cosco Capital has a Altman Z-Score of 2.55, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Cosco Capital is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cosco Capital's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:COSCO' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.28   Med: 2.64   Max: 3.89
Current: 2.55

During the past 13 years, Cosco Capital's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.89. The lowest was 2.28. And the median was 2.64.


Cosco Capital  (PHS:COSCO) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Cosco Capital Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Cosco Capital Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Cosco Capital's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Cosco Capital Altman Z-Score Chart

Cosco Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.54 2.28 2.33 2.38 2.46

Cosco Capital Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.46 2.52 2.57 2.46 2.50

PHS:COSCO vs KR, SFM, ACI: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Cosco Capital's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cosco Capital Altman Z-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Cosco Capital's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cosco Capital's Altman Z-Score falls into.


PHS:COSCO
96GF Score
Cosco Capital Inc PHS:COSCO
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Cosco Capital Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Cosco Capital's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3279+1.4*0.3492+3.3*0.0954+0.6*0.5444+1.0*1.0224
=2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was ₱262,594 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₱127,526 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₱41,412 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ₱91,705 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 5657.186 + 6787.253 + 3893.611 + 4941.568 = ₱21,280 Mil.
Interest Expense was -918.76 + -979.388 + -919.622 + -950.494 = ₱-3,768 Mil.
Revenue was 63140.992 + 79164.392 + 63335.645 + 62828.804 = ₱268,470 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was ₱54,077 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ₱99,329 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(127525.896 - 41411.994)/262594.169
=0.3279

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=91705.3/262594.169
=0.3492

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(21279.618 - -3768.264)/262594.169
=0.0954

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=54076.580/99328.56
=0.5444

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=268469.833/262594.169
=1.0224

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Cosco Capital has a Altman Z-Score of 2.55 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.55 mean?
Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.55 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Cosco Capital and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 2.64. Over the past decade, Cosco Capital's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.28 to 3.89. According to the industry distribution chart, Cosco Capital ranks #215 out of 307 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 70%.
Is Cosco Capital's Altman Z-Score too high?
Cosco Capital's current Altman Z-Score of 2.55 is near median its 10-year median of 2.64. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.28 to a high of 3.89. The Retail - Defensive industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.57. Cosco Capital's value of 2.55 is 28.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Cosco Capital ranks #215 out of 307 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Cosco Capital has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cosco Capital's Altman Z-Score compare to KR and SFM?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Cosco Capital ranks #215 out of 307 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Cosco Capital in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.57. Cosco Capital's value of 2.55 is 28.6% below this benchmark. Historically, Cosco Capital's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.28 to 3.89 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.64 vs. the industry median of 3.57, Cosco Capital has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Retail - Defensive companies is 3.57, based on 307 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Cosco Capital's current Altman Z-Score of 2.55 is 28.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Cosco Capital and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.57 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Cosco Capital's current Altman Z-Score is 2.55, which is near median its own 10-year median of 2.64. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cosco Capital stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱6.78, compared to a current price of ₱7.97 — trading 17.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.55, which is near median its 10-year median of 2.64 and 28.6% below the Retail - Defensive industry median of 3.57. Cosco Capital's overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.55 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Cosco Capital (PHS:COSCO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cosco Capital stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₱7.97 is trading 17.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₱6.78. GuruFocus considers Cosco Capital to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:COSCO:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.55 (near median its 10-year median of 2.64)
  • GF Value™: ₱6.78 vs. price of ₱7.97 (17.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 96/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 28.6% below the Retail - Defensive median (#215 of 307)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:COSCO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Cosco Capital Business Description

Address Number 900 D. Romualdez Street, 3rd Floor, New Tabacalera Building, Paco, Manila, PHL, 1007
Cosco Capital Inc primary purpose from an oil and mineral exploration and development corporation into a holding company so that it may pursue other businesses as opportunity comes. The company's segment are: Grocery retail; Specialty retail Includes selling of office supplies both on wholesale and retail business; Liquor distribution Includes selling of purchased goods based on a distributorship channel; Real estate and property leasing Includes real estate activities; and Oil and mining Includes exploration, development and production of oil, gas, metallic and nonmetallic reserves . It derives maximum revenue from Grocery Retail segment which includes selling of purchased goods to a retail market.
96GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:COSCO

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱7.97
Price
₱6.78
GF Value