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Sportsman's Warehouse HoldingsSPWH 48 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -102.52% as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus rates SPWH with a GF Score™ of 48/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.64 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 793 Retail - Cyclical companies, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings ranks worse than 98.74% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings's forward rate of return for was -102.52%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
SPWH'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -115.16 Med: 2.46 Max: 34.87
Current: -112.51
During the past 13 years, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 34.87. The lowest was -115.16. And the median was 2.46.
SPWH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 98.74% of 793
companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 12.76
vs SPWH: -112.51
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
SPWH vs ABLV, NPT, PTLE: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -102.52% mean?
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings (SPWH) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -102.52% as of Apr. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings ranks #783 out of 793 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 98.7%.
Is Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -102.52%. Based on the distribution chart, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings ranks #783 out of 793 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to ABLV and NPT?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings ranks #783 out of 793 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.76. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Retail - Cyclical companies is 12.76, based on 793 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.76 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -102.52%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings (SPWH) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.64, compared to a current price of $1.17 — trading 55.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -102.52%. Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings (SPWH), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -102.52% as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings (SPWH) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $1.17 is trading 55.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $2.64.
GuruFocus considers Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for SPWH:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -102.52%
GF Value™: $2.64 vs. price of $1.17 (55.7% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the SPWH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc together with its subsidiaries operates as an outdoor sporting goods retailer. It provides a one-stop shopping experience that equips customers with the right quality, brand name hunting, shooting, fishing, and camping gear to maximize enjoyment of the outdoors. The company offers products in the categories of Camping, Apparel, Fishing, Footwear, Hunting and shooting, and Optics, Electronics, Accessories, and Other products. It provides products such as Backpacks, Jackets, Camp essentials, Hiking boots, GPS devices, ATV accessories and Fishing rods, among others. The company also offers an e-commerce experience, extensive in-store events and educational programming.
48GF Score
Get the complete analysis for SPWH
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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