Transurban Group (ASX:TCL) Risk Assessment


ASX:TCL Transurban Group ASX:TCL
78 GF Score
Price A$14.62
GF Value A$13.49
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Transurban Group Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Transurban Group is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Transurban Group  (ASX:TCL) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Transurban Group Risk Assessment Related Terms

Transurban Group Risk Assessment Competitor Comparison

For the Infrastructure Operations subindustry, Transurban Group's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Transurban Group Risk Assessment vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Transurban Group's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Transurban Group's Risk Assessment falls into.


ASX:TCL
78GF Score
Transurban Group ASX:TCL
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Transurban Group (ASX:TCL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Transurban Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$14.62 is trading 8.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$13.49. GuruFocus considers Transurban Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:TCL:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: A$13.49 vs. price of A$14.62 (8.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:TCL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Transurban Group Business Description

Other Exchanges TRAUF:USATU9:Germany
Address 727 Collins Street, Level 31, Tower 5, Collins Square, Docklands, VIC, AUS, 3008
Transurban Group is an owner/operator of toll roads in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane. It also owns toll roads in Virginia, USA, and Montreal, Canada. The weighted average concession life across the portfolio is about 25 years. Australian assets contribute around 90% of proportional revenue.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:TCL

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$14.62
Price
A$13.49
GF Value