FCNCA (First Citizens BancShares) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FCNCA First Citizens BancShares Inc FCNCA
75 GF Score
Price $2,158.45
GF Value $2,203.12
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is First Citizens BancShares Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of First Citizens BancShares is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

First Citizens BancShares  (NAS:FCNCA) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

First Citizens BancShares Risk Assessment Related Terms

FCNCA vs KEY, RF, CFG: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Citizens BancShares's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

First Citizens BancShares Risk Assessment vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Citizens BancShares's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Citizens BancShares's Risk Assessment falls into.


FCNCA
75GF Score
First Citizens BancShares Inc FCNCA
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First Citizens BancShares stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $2,158.45 is trading 2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $2,203.12. GuruFocus considers First Citizens BancShares to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for FCNCA:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $2,203.12 vs. price of $2,158.45 (2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FCNCA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

First Citizens BancShares Business Description

Address 4300 Six Forks Road, Raleigh, NC, USA, 27609
First Citizens is a US regional bank with total assets of around $236 billion as of March 31, 2026. Headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina, First Citizens' largest markets are North Carolina, South Carolina, and California. The bank has a track record of acquiring troubled banks from the FDIC, such as Silicon Valley Bridge Bank in 2023, which doubled its asset base. First Citizens offers products and services across retail, commercial, wealth management, and railcar leasing. First Citizens derived over 95% of its earnings from banking and less than 5% from railcar leasing in 2025.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FCNCA

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2,158.45
Price
$2,203.12
GF Value