Super Group (JSE:SPG) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

JSE:SPG Super Group Ltd JSE:SPG
83 GF Score
Price R18.89
GF Value R23.82
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Super Group Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Super Group is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Super Group  (JSE:SPG) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Super Group Risk Assessment Related Terms

JSE:SPG vs UPS, FDX, JBHT: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Super Group's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Super Group Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Super Group's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Super Group's Risk Assessment falls into.


JSE:SPG
83GF Score
Super Group Ltd JSE:SPG
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Super Group (JSE:SPG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Super Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R18.89 is trading 20.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of R23.82. GuruFocus considers Super Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:SPG:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: R23.82 vs. price of R18.89 (20.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:SPG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Super Group Business Description

Other Exchanges S8G1:Germany
Address 27 Impala Road, Chislehurston, Sandton, Johannesburg, ZAF, 2196
Super Group Ltd provides logistics and mobility solutions across sub-Saharan Africa, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australasia through several key segments. Its Supply Chain divisions offer distribution, warehousing, and courier services. The Dealerships divisions manage the sale and servicing of passenger and commercial vehicles in South Africa and the United Kingdom, representing key vehicle brands. The Fleet Solutions divisions provide fleet management and vehicle leasing services. The principal segments of the company are Supply Chain Africa, Supply Chain Europe, Fleet Africa, SG Fleet, Dealerships SA, Dealerships UK and Services. Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from South Africa.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:SPG

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R18.89
Price
R23.82
GF Value