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Note: If the price history is too short, we do not calculate current Shiller PE for this stock. All the historical data is shown as the company's primary share's data instead.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
China Tourism Group Duty Free (OTCPK:CTGDF) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation
Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.
Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.
Be Aware
Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.
China Tourism Group Duty Free Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms
China Tourism Group Duty Free Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
China Tourism Group Duty Free Shiller PE Ratio Chart
CTGDF vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison
For the Specialty Retail subindustry, China Tourism Group Duty Free's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
China Tourism Group Duty Free Shiller PE Ratio vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China Tourism Group Duty Free's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where China Tourism Group Duty Free's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.
China Tourism Group Duty Free Shiller PE Ratio Calculation
For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
Is China Tourism Group Duty Free (CTGDF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Tourism Group Duty Free stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $6.25 is trading 22.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $8.07.
GuruFocus considers China Tourism Group Duty Free to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for CTGDF:
Shiller PE Ratio:
GF Value™: $8.07 vs. price of $6.25 (22.6% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CTGDF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Established in 1984, China Tourism Group Duty Free is China's largest and the world's second-largest travel retailer in 2025 with revenue of CNY 54 billion. The company primarily operates duty-free stores at airports, border crossings, offshore, downtown, and on flights, cruises and ships, with about 200 stores spanning over 33 provinces in China, as well as overseas. The company also operates a duty-paid business. Its 2025 revenue mix was 73% duty-free sales and 27% duty-paid sales and others. CTG Duty Free is 50% owned by China Tourism Group, a state-owned enterprise that falls directly under the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council.
81GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CTGDF
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