Microsoft (MEX:MSFT) Shiller PE Ratio: 48.95 (As of Sep. 07, 2026) — 11% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:MSFT Microsoft Corp MEX:MSFT
100 GF Score
Price MXN8,441.61
GF Value MXN10,137.47
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio?

Microsoft MEX:MSFT -2.31% 100 Shiller PE Ratio is 48.95 as of Sep. 07, 2026, which is 11% below its 10-year median of 54.76. GuruFocus rates MEX:MSFT with a GF Score™ of 100/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN10,137.47 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,020 Software companies, Microsoft ranks worse than 73.14% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-07), Microsoft's current share price is MXN8441.61. Microsoft's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN172.44. Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 48.95.

The historical rank and industry rank for Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:MSFT' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 25.55   Med: 54.76   Max: 85.14
Current: 50.62

During the past years, Microsoft's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 85.14. The lowest was 25.55. And the median was 54.76.

MEX:MSFT's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than
73.14% of 1020 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 27.43 vs MEX:MSFT: 50.62

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN83.930. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is MXN172.44 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Microsoft  (MEX:MSFT) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms


Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio Chart

Microsoft Annual Data
Trend Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.50 59.96 66.78 61.76 37.79

Microsoft Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 61.76 61.67 54.89 39.64 37.79

MEX:MSFT vs PLTR, ORCL, PANW: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


MEX:MSFT
100GF Score
Microsoft Corp MEX:MSFT
Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=8441.61/172.44
=48.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Microsoft's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Microsoft's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=83.93/333.9520*333.9520
=83.930

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Microsoft Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201609 13.922 241.428 19.257
201612 16.494 241.432 22.815
201703 13.180 243.801 18.054
201706 15.003 244.955 20.454
201709 15.244 246.819 20.625
201712 -16.104 246.524 -21.815
201803 17.259 249.554 23.096
201806 22.400 251.989 29.686
201809 21.324 252.439 28.210
201812 21.206 251.233 28.188
201903 22.114 254.202 29.052
201906 32.847 256.143 42.825
201909 27.244 256.759 35.435
201912 28.479 256.974 37.010
202003 32.827 258.115 42.472
202006 33.700 257.797 43.655
202009 40.206 260.280 51.586
202012 40.381 260.474 51.772
202103 41.495 264.877 52.316
202106 43.196 271.696 53.094
202109 55.723 274.310 67.839
202112 50.875 278.802 60.939
202203 44.202 287.504 51.343
202206 44.863 296.311 50.562
202209 47.270 296.808 53.186
202212 42.891 296.797 48.260
202303 44.161 301.836 48.860
202306 46.117 305.109 50.477
202309 52.083 307.789 56.510
202312 49.735 306.746 54.146
202403 48.793 312.332 52.171
202406 54.044 314.175 57.446
202409 64.978 315.301 68.822
202412 67.364 315.605 71.280
202503 70.785 319.799 73.918
202506 68.727 322.561 71.154
202509 68.240 324.800 70.163
202512 92.909 324.054 95.747
202603 77.000 330.213 77.872
202606 83.930 333.952 83.930

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Shiller PE Ratio →
What does a Shiller PE Ratio of 48.95 mean?
Microsoft (MEX:MSFT) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 48.95 as of Sep. 07, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Microsoft and its competitors. This is 11% below median its historical median of 54.76. Over the past decade, Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 25.55 to 85.14. According to the industry distribution chart, Microsoft ranks #746 out of 1020 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 73.1%.
Is Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
Microsoft's current Shiller PE Ratio of 48.95 is 11% below median its 10-year median of 54.76. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 25.55 to a high of 85.14. The Software industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 27.43. Microsoft's value of 48.95 is 78.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Microsoft ranks #746 out of 1020 companies in the Software industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Microsoft has a GF Score™ of 100/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio compare to PLTR and ORCL?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Microsoft ranks #746 out of 1020 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places Microsoft in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 27.43. Microsoft's value of 48.95 is 78.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Microsoft's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 25.55 to 85.14 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 54.76 vs. the industry median of 27.43, Microsoft has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for a Software company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Software companies is 27.43, based on 1,020 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Microsoft's current Shiller PE Ratio of 48.95 is 78.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Microsoft and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 27.43 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Microsoft's current Shiller PE Ratio is 48.95, which is 11% below median its own 10-year median of 54.76. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Microsoft stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Microsoft (MEX:MSFT) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN10,137.47, compared to a current price of MXN8,441.61 — trading 16.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 48.95, which is 11% below median its 10-year median of 54.76 and 78.5% above the Software industry median of 27.43. Microsoft's overall GF Score™ is 100/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Microsoft (MEX:MSFT), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 48.95 as of Sep. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Microsoft (MEX:MSFT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Microsoft stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN8,441.61 is trading 16.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN10,137.47. GuruFocus considers Microsoft to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MSFT:

  • Shiller PE Ratio: 48.95 (11% below median its 10-year median of 54.76)
  • GF Value™: MXN10,137.47 vs. price of MXN8,441.61 (16.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 100/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 78.5% above the Software median (#746 of 1020)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MSFT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Microsoft Business Description

Address One Microsoft Way, Redmond, WA, USA, 98052-6399
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
100GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MSFT

Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN8,441.61
Price
MXN10,137.47
GF Value