The Estee Lauder (XSWX:EL) Shiller PE Ratio: 27.99 (As of Sep. 07, 2026) — 46% Below Median

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XSWX:EL The Estee Lauder Companies Inc XSWX:EL
49 GF Score
Price CHF82.30
GF Value CHF74.43
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The Estee Lauder Shiller PE Ratio?

The Estee Lauder XSWX:EL 49 Shiller PE Ratio is 27.99 as of Sep. 07, 2026, which is 46% below its 10-year median of 51.63. GuruFocus rates XSWX:EL with a GF Score™ of 49/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF74.43 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,127 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, The Estee Lauder ranks worse than 72.49% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-07), The Estee Lauder's current share price is CHF82.30. The Estee Lauder's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was CHF2.94. The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 27.99.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:EL' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 13.1   Med: 51.63   Max: 93.13
Current: 28.49

During the past years, The Estee Lauder's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 93.13. The lowest was 13.10. And the median was 51.63.

XSWX:EL's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than
72.49% of 1127 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 17.7 vs XSWX:EL: 28.49

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

The Estee Lauder's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was CHF-0.256. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is CHF2.94 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


The Estee Lauder  (XSWX:EL) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


The Estee Lauder Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms


The Estee Lauder Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Estee Lauder Shiller PE Ratio Chart

The Estee Lauder Annual Data
Trend Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.09 42.51 23.86 20.85 21.66

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.85 23.17 28.50 19.56 21.66

XSWX:EL vs KVUE, KMB, CHD: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Estee Lauder Shiller PE Ratio vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


XSWX:EL
49GF Score
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc XSWX:EL
Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Estee Lauder Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=82.30/2.94
=27.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Estee Lauder's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, The Estee Lauder's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=-0.256/333.9520*333.9520
=-0.256

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201609 0.769 241.428 1.064
201612 1.172 241.432 1.621
201703 0.801 243.801 1.097
201706 0.591 244.955 0.806
201709 1.097 246.819 1.484
201712 0.326 246.524 0.442
201803 0.939 249.554 1.257
201806 0.485 251.989 0.643
201809 1.298 252.439 1.717
201812 1.537 251.233 2.043
201903 1.511 254.202 1.985
201906 0.425 256.143 0.554
201909 1.595 256.759 2.075
201912 1.494 256.974 1.942
202003 -0.019 258.115 -0.025
202006 -1.218 257.797 -1.578
202009 1.299 260.280 1.667
202012 2.106 260.474 2.700
202103 1.153 264.877 1.454
202106 2.506 271.696 3.080
202109 1.735 274.310 2.112
202112 2.735 278.802 3.276
202203 1.422 287.504 1.652
202206 0.136 296.311 0.153
202209 1.314 296.808 1.478
202212 1.015 296.797 1.142
202303 0.398 301.836 0.440
202306 -0.081 305.109 -0.089
202309 0.081 307.789 0.088
202312 0.752 306.746 0.819
202403 0.809 312.332 0.865
202406 -0.706 314.175 -0.750
202409 -0.364 315.301 -0.386
202412 -1.462 315.605 -1.547
202503 0.389 319.799 0.406
202506 -1.228 322.561 -1.271
202509 0.103 324.800 0.106
202512 0.351 324.054 0.362
202603 0.189 330.213 0.191
202606 -0.256 333.952 -0.256

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Shiller PE Ratio →
What does a Shiller PE Ratio of 27.99 mean?
The Estee Lauder (XSWX:EL) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 27.99 as of Sep. 07, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on The Estee Lauder and its competitors. This is 46% below median its historical median of 51.63. Over the past decade, The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 13.10 to 93.13. According to the industry distribution chart, The Estee Lauder ranks #817 out of 1127 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 72.5%.
Is The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
The Estee Lauder's current Shiller PE Ratio of 27.99 is 46% below median its 10-year median of 51.63. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 13.10 to a high of 93.13. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 17.70. The Estee Lauder's value of 27.99 is 58.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The Estee Lauder ranks #817 out of 1127 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The Estee Lauder has a GF Score™ of 49/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Estee Lauder's Shiller PE Ratio compare to KVUE and KMB?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, The Estee Lauder ranks #817 out of 1127 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places The Estee Lauder in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 17.70. The Estee Lauder's value of 27.99 is 58.1% above this benchmark. Historically, The Estee Lauder's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 13.10 to 93.13 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 51.63 vs. the industry median of 17.70, The Estee Lauder has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 17.70, based on 1,127 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The Estee Lauder's current Shiller PE Ratio of 27.99 is 58.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on The Estee Lauder and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 17.70 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The Estee Lauder's current Shiller PE Ratio is 27.99, which is 46% below median its own 10-year median of 51.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Estee Lauder stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Estee Lauder (XSWX:EL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF74.43, compared to a current price of CHF82.30 — trading 10.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 27.99, which is 46% below median its 10-year median of 51.63 and 58.1% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 17.70. The Estee Lauder's overall GF Score™ is 49/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Estee Lauder (XSWX:EL), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 27.99 as of Sep. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Estee Lauder (XSWX:EL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Estee Lauder stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF82.30 is trading 10.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF74.43. GuruFocus considers The Estee Lauder to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:EL:

  • Shiller PE Ratio: 27.99 (46% below median its 10-year median of 51.63)
  • GF Value™: CHF74.43 vs. price of CHF82.30 (10.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 49/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 58.1% above the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#817 of 1127)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:EL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Estee Lauder Business Description

Address 767 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10153
Estée Lauder is a leader in the global prestige beauty market, participating across skin care (49% of fiscal 2025 sales), makeup (29%), fragrance (17%), and hair care and others (5%). Top-selling brands include Estée Lauder, Clinique, M.A.C, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, Bobbi Brown, and Origins. The firm operates in more than 150 countries, generating 31% of revenue from the Americas, 37% from Europe, the Middle East and Africa (including travel retail), and 32% from Asia-Pacific. Estée Lauder sells its products through department stores, travel retail, specialty multibrand beauty stores, brand-dedicated freestanding stores, e-commerce, salons/spas, and perfumeries.
49GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:EL

Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF82.30
Price
CHF74.43
GF Value