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Luen Thai Holdings (HKSE:00311) Altman Z-Score : 2.20 (As of Sep. 27, 2024)


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What is Luen Thai Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.2 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Luen Thai Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.20, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Luen Thai Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Luen Thai Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00311' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.77   Med: 2.72   Max: 3.22
Current: 2.2

During the past 13 years, Luen Thai Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.22. The lowest was 1.77. And the median was 2.72.


Luen Thai Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Luen Thai Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Luen Thai Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Luen Thai Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.73 1.77 2.17 2.48 2.22

Luen Thai Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.48 - 2.22 -

Competitive Comparison of Luen Thai Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Luen Thai Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Luen Thai Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Luen Thai Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Luen Thai Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Luen Thai Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Luen Thai Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0714+1.4*0.3853+3.3*0.0177+0.6*0.0883+1.0*1.4666
=2.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$3,710 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,238 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,973 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$1,429 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$-43 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-109 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,441 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$195 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$2,213 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2238.07 - 1973.201)/3709.632
=0.0714

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1429.248/3709.632
=0.3853

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-43.383 - -108.869)/3709.632
=0.0177

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=195.447/2212.602
=0.0883

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=5440.572/3709.632
=1.4666

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Luen Thai Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.20 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Luen Thai Holdings  (HKSE:00311) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Luen Thai Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Luen Thai Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
57 Hung To Road, Rooms 1001-1005, 10th Floor, Nanyang Plaza, Kwun Tong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Luen Thai Holdings Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing and trading of apparel and accessories. The company has a diverse product range that includes Fashion and Sleepwear, Sports Active Wear, Sweaters and Outerwear, Casual Knits and Woven Wear, and Accessories. It derives revenue mainly from sales of apparel and accessories. Its revenue is mainly derived from customers located in the United States of America, the PRC, Europe, Canada, and Japan, while the company's business activities are conducted predominantly in Hong Kong, Macao, the PRC, the Philippines, Cambodia, the United States, and Myanmar.
Executives
Dong Fang Guo Ji Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Shang Hai Guo Sheng Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Shang Hai Fang Zhi Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Tan Chiu Joise 2202 Interest of your spouse
Tan Henry 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Double Joy Investments Limited 2101 Beneficial owner

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